Fourth-Down Analyzer
Every 4th-down decision from every game this week, priced in expected points by the same submodels shown on each game's own page, just gathered here one week at a time instead of one game at a time. The objective: see which calls matched what the numbers say and which ones cost the most, across the whole week at a glance.
How It Works → · How the go/kick/punt math works →
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Q1 ARI 4th & 15 at the 41Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 57%
(9:27) 12-B.Gillikin punts 41 yards to end zone, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Touchback.
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Q1 ARI 4th & 7 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(5:18) 12-B.Gillikin punts 49 yards to SF 7, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 4-J.Cowing.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 9 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(12:18) 12-B.Gillikin punts 63 yards to SF 7, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 4-J.Cowing to SF 14 for 7 yards (25-Z.Collins).
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Q2 SF 4th & 5 at the 81Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52%
(11:24) 15-C.Waitman punts 53 yards to ARI 28, Center-46-J.Weeks. 81-D.Duvernay to ARI 38 for 10 yards (51-L.Gifford).
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Q2 ARI 4th & 1 at the 16Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 95%
(5:07) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 14-Mi.Wilson to SF 9 for 7 yards (54-F.Warner; 25-J.Jones).
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Q2 ARI 4th & 8 at the 8Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 98%
(3:08) 38-C.Ryland 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
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Q2 SF 4th & 10 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 27%
(1:41) 15-C.Waitman punts 35 yards to ARI 18, Center-46-J.Weeks, downed by SF-53-J.Dugger.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 14 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 90%
(:27) 38-C.Ryland 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
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Q3 ARI 4th & 2 at the 26Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57% p(FG) 87%
(6:20) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 14-Mi.Wilson to SF 21 for 5 yards (0-R.Green; 20-U.Stout).
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Q3 SF 4th & 4 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54%
(1:06) 15-C.Waitman punts 57 yards to ARI 14, Center-46-J.Weeks. 81-D.Duvernay pushed ob at ARI 24 for 10 yards (33-S.Neal).
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Q3 ARI 4th & 10 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(:41) 12-B.Gillikin punts 46 yards to SF 30, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 33-S.Neal MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by ARI-80-S.Fehoko at SF 28.
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Q1 GB 4th & 9 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(12:45) 19-D.Whelan punts 41 yards to ATL 13, Center-42-M.Orzech. 14-O.Zaccheaus to ATL 17 for 4 yards (16-B.Melton; 59-T.Hopper).
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Q1 ATL 4th & 11 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(10:15) 16-J.Bailey punts 61 yards to GB 13, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 23-S.Moore.
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Q2 GB 4th & 4 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52%
(15:00) 19-D.Whelan punts 64 yards to ATL -1, Center-42-M.Orzech. 17-Z.Branch pushed ob at ATL 17 for 18 yards (59-T.Hopper).
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Q2 ATL 4th & 6 at the 41Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.53 EPp(convert) 41% p(FG) 56%
(10:41) 16-J.Bailey punts 30 yards to GB 11, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 23-S.Moore.
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Q2 GB 4th & 9 at the 88Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(9:42) 19-D.Whelan punts 52 yards to ATL 36, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 17-Z.Branch.
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Q2 ATL 4th & 2 at the 26Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.88 EPp(convert) 58% p(FG) 86%
(4:53) 6-N.Folk 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
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Q2 GB 4th & 5 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 84%
(3:47) 28-T.Smack 47 yard field goal is BLOCKED (96-Z.Harrison), Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
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Q2 GB 4th & 2 at the 59Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EPp(convert) 63%
(:38) 19-D.Whelan punts 48 yards to ATL 11, Center-42-M.Orzech, out of bounds.
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Q3 GB 4th & 1 at the 7Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 98%
(10:02) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right to 9-C.Watson.
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Q3 GB 4th & 16 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 27%
(1:02) 19-D.Whelan punts 45 yards to ATL 8, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 14-O.Zaccheaus.
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Q4 ATL 4th & 7 at the 13Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 96%
(11:00) 6-N.Folk 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
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Q4 GB 4th & 7 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 62%
(9:29) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 23-S.Moore to ATL 29 for 10 yards (31-X.Watts).
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Q4 GB 4th & 6 at the 40 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 59%
(1:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 87-J.Sturdivant to ATL 30 for 10 yards (21-M.Hughes).
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Q1 BAL 4th & 4 at the 71Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.64 EPp(convert) 54%
(13:37) 30-R.Eckley punts 43 yards to DAL 28, Center-46-N.Moore. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 33 for 5 yards (49-J.Higgins).
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Q1 DAL 4th & 10 at the 10Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 97%
(8:13) 17-B.Aubrey 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q1 BAL 4th & 1 at the 70Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 75%
(6:12) 22-D.Henry up the middle to BAL 30 for no gain (13-C.Downs).
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Q2 DAL 4th & 6 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 32%
(15:00) 5-B.Anger punts 39 yards to BAL 11, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 10-L.Wester.
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Q2 DAL 4th & 1 at the 56Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72%
(9:24) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 44 for no gain (0-R.Smith). FUMBLES (0-R.Smith), and recovers at DAL 43.
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Q2 BAL 4th & 6 at the 9Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.80 EPp(convert) 40% p(FG) 97%
(4:48) 33-T.Loop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.
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Q2 DAL 4th & 6 at the 20Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 92%
(:23) 17-B.Aubrey 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q3 DAL 4th & 4 at the 47Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49% p(FG) 39%
(13:15) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 34 for 13 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
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Q3 BAL 4th & 14 at the 79Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(9:08) 30-R.Eckley punts 58 yards to DAL 21, Center-46-N.Moore. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 33 for 12 yards (21-J.Hawkins).
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Q3 DAL 4th & 6 at the 41Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.63 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 55%
(6:07) 17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (39-K.Jackson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q4 BAL 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 99%
(13:07) 22-D.Henry left guard to DAL 4 for -3 yards (55-J.Barham).
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Q4 BAL 4th & 5 at the 55Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.69 EPp(convert) 48%
(7:40) 30-R.Eckley punts 48 yards to DAL 7, Center-46-N.Moore. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 24 for 17 yards (46-N.Moore).
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Q4 DAL 4th & 6 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(5:57) 5-B.Anger punts 60 yards to BAL 12, Center-44-T.Sieg. 10-L.Wester to BAL 36 for 24 yards (27-R.Steward; 89-B.Spann-Ford).
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Q4 DAL 4th & 5 at the 5 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 98%
(:10) 17-B.Aubrey 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q1 CAR 4th & 17 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(12:10) 6-S.Martin punts 52 yards to CLE 15, Center-44-J.Jansen. 1-K.Concepcion to CLE 18 for 3 yards (45-M.Njongmeta; 46-J.Kuwatch). PENALTY on CLE-35-T.Pride, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 8 yards, enforced at CLE 16.
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Q1 CLE 4th & 3 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(8:41) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 39 yards to CAR 19, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 83-D.Moore.
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Q1 CAR 4th & 2 at the 56Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.93 EPp(convert) 59%
(6:00) 6-S.Martin punts 47 yards to CLE 9, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-29-A.Evans.
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Q2 CLE 4th & 3 at the 38Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48% p(FG) 59%
(15:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 1-K.Concepcion to CAR 34 for 4 yards (29-A.Evans).
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Q2 CLE 4th & 14 at the 43Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 45%
(12:03) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 27 yards to CAR 16, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.
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Q2 CAR 4th & 3 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51% p(FG) 45%
(8:38) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 47 for -10 yards (94-M.Graham).
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Q2 CLE 4th & 4 at the 29Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 80%
(5:48) 25-A.Szmyt 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
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Q2 CAR 4th & 1 at the 60Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70%
(3:40) 9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 82-T.Tremble.
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Q2 CLE 4th & 2 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50% p(FG) 99%
(1:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 44-H.Fannin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-7-T.Moehrig, Defensive Holding, declined.
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Q2 CAR 4th & 17 at the 17Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 94%
(:30) 10-R.Fitzgerald 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
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Q3 CAR 4th & 2 at the 22Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.02 EPp(convert) 55% p(FG) 90%
(13:26) 10-R.Fitzgerald 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
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Q3 CLE 4th & 13 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(11:09) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 62 yards to CAR 12, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 83-D.Moore to CAR 20 for 8 yards (11-M.Corley).
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Q3 CAR 4th & 14 at the 45Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 40%
(7:42) 6-S.Martin punts 40 yards to CLE 5, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-83-D.Moore.
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Q3 CLE 4th & 5 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(6:12) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 62 yards to CAR 28, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 83-D.Moore to CAR 34 for 6 yards (24-D.Thomas).
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Q3 CAR 4th & 7 at the 35Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 67%
(3:21) 10-R.Fitzgerald 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
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Q3 CLE 4th & 9 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(2:18) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to CAR 13, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.
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Q4 CAR 4th & 6 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 92%
(11:45) 10-R.Fitzgerald 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
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Q4 CLE 4th & 9 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 83%
(7:34) 25-A.Szmyt 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
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Q4 CAR 4th & 16 at the 84 late-gameChose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +1.06 EPp(convert) 29%
(1:27) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to CAR 24 for 8 yards (26-M.Harden; 49-C.Schwesinger).
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Q4 CLE 4th & 1 at the 15 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +1.27 EPp(convert) 63% p(FG) 95%
(1:05) 10-Q.Judkins up the middle to CAR 17 for -2 yards (91-P.Jones).
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Q2 CIN 4th & 4 at the 32Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.57 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 74%
(10:20) 2-E.McPherson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
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Q2 PIT 4th & 5 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 86%
(7:10) 9-C.Boswell 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.
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Q2 CIN 4th & 3 at the 51Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.39 EPp(convert) 54% p(FG) 25%
(4:40) 8-R.Rehkow punts 41 yards to PIT 10, Center-46-W.Wagner. 10-K.Wetjen pushed ob at PIT 15 for 5 yards (42-O.Burks).
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Q3 CIN 4th & 2 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 48%
(10:11) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 21 for 21 yards (22-A.Samuel).
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Q3 CIN 4th & 9 at the 20Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 91%
(8:26) 2-E.McPherson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
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Q4 CIN 4th & 2 at the 25Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57% p(FG) 86%
(13:33) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q4 PIT 4th & 10 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(11:04) 19-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 12-K.Williams MUFFS catch, touched at CIN 16, RECOVERED by PIT-15-B.Skowronek at CIN 14. PIT-26-B.Echols was injured during the play.
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Q4 PIT 4th & 14 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 93%
(8:48) 9-C.Boswell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.
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Q4 CIN 4th & 2 at the 51Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.09 EPp(convert) 60% p(FG) 25%
(7:46) 8-R.Rehkow punts 43 yards to PIT 8, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 10-K.Wetjen.
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Q4 PIT 4th & 15 at the 15 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 95%
(2:18) 9-C.Boswell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.
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Q1 HOU 4th & 11 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(13:32) 38-K.Kroeger punts 56 yards to IND 16, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 6-A.Gould to IND 36 for 20 yards (56-J.Hill).
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Q1 HOU 4th & 1 at the 31Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 79%
(9:47) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 31 for no gain (0-C.Bynum; 99-D.Buckner).
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Q1 IND 4th & 1 at the 19Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 65% p(FG) 93%
(5:25) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones scrambles right end to HOU 18 for 1 yard (24-D.Stingley).
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Q1 IND 4th & 13 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 92%
(4:32) 3-S.Shrader 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. ** Injury Update: IND-3-S.Shrader has returned to the game.
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Q2 IND 4th & 16 at the 40Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 59%
(1:08) 3-S.Shrader 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q2 HOU 4th & 2 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 62%
(:39) 38-K.Kroeger punts 52 yards to IND 9, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 6-A.Gould to IND 14 for 5 yards (11-T.Smith).
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Q3 HOU 4th & 6 at the 95Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48%
(10:01) 38-K.Kroeger punts 67 yards to IND 28, Center-40-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.
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Q3 IND 4th & 13 at the 75Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(7:57) 8-R.Sanchez punts 58 yards to HOU 17, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 13-J.Noel to HOU 28 for 11 yards (58-A.Ajiake).
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Q3 HOU 4th & 4 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(6:23) 38-K.Kroeger punts 36 yards to IND 30, Center-40-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.
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Q3 IND 4th & 1 at the 48Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 38%
(3:24) 67-L.Tenuta reported in as eligible. 28-J.Taylor right tackle to HOU 44 for 4 yards (35-J.Hansen).
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Q4 IND 4th & 8 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 93%
(12:47) 3-S.Shrader 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q4 HOU 4th & 4 at the 6Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.97 EPp(convert) 43% p(FG) 98%
(7:36) 15-K.Fairbairn 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
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Q4 IND 4th & 1 at the 36 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 69%
(:21) 3-S.Shrader 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q2 MIA 4th & 4 at the 49Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48% p(FG) 36%
(9:25) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short middle to 6-M.Washington (5-M.Delane).
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Q2 KC 4th & 1 at the 12Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 65% p(FG) 97%
(6:15) 64-H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker up the middle to MIA 12 for no gain (20-J.Brooks; 90-M.Herring).
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Q2 MIA 4th & 13 at the 45Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 46%
(:54) 48-B.Pinion punts 36 yards to KC 9, Center-46-T.Addington, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio.
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Q3 MIA 4th & 17 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 94%
(10:13) 47-R.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.
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Q3 KC 4th & 8 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(8:13) 14-M.Araiza punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-41-J.Winchester, Touchback.
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Q3 MIA 4th & 9 at the 42Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 54%
(3:18) 48-B.Pinion punts 34 yards to KC 8, Center-46-T.Addington, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio. PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Offensive Holding, 4 yards, enforced at KC 8.
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Q4 KC 4th & 16 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 95%
(11:38) 7-H.Butker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
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Q4 MIA 4th & 5 at the 52Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 29%
(6:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass incomplete short right to 21-K.Coleman (20-N.Williams).
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Q4 MIA 4th & 1 at the 52 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 29%
(2:03) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short right intended for 84-R.Miller INTERCEPTED by 56-G.Karlaftis (95-C.Jones) at MIA 36. 56-G.Karlaftis to MIA 36 for no gain (55-A.Brewer).
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Q4 KC 4th & 6 at the 32 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 77%
(:57) 7-H.Butker 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
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Q1 LAC 4th & 9 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(6:09) 16-J.Scott punts 44 yards to BUF 26, Center-47-J.Harris. 19-G.Dortch pushed ob at BUF 34 for 8 yards (32-K.Williamson).
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Q1 BUF 4th & 1 at the 57Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73%
(4:29) 17-J.Allen left guard to BUF 44 for 1 yard (3-D.James).
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Q1 LAC 4th & 3 at the 13Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.91 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 96%
(:37) 11-C.Dicker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
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Q2 LAC 4th & 3 at the 27Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.51 EPp(convert) 47% p(FG) 83%
(10:26) 11-C.Dicker 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
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Q2 BUF 4th & 9 at the 10Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.37 EPp(convert) 32% p(FG) 97%
(6:05) 16-T.Bass 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman.
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Q2 LAC 4th & 15 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(4:15) 16-J.Scott punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-47-J.Harris, Touchback.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LAC 4th & 3 at the 3Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.01 EPp(convert) 44% p(FG) 99%
(6:15) 11-C.Dicker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LAC 4th & 10 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(1:44) 16-J.Scott punts 45 yards to BUF 25, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 BUF 4th & 6 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 45%
(11:15) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-T.Johnson for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty [92-J.Eboigbe]. PENALTY on BUF-88-D.Knox, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 14.
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Q4 LAC 4th & 10 at the 55Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.44 EPp(convert) 32%
(5:14) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 28-K.Vidal [91-E.Oliver].
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 LAC 4th & 7 at the 15 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 95%
(1:59) 11-C.Dicker 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 LA 4th & 9 at the 47Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 36%
(11:05) 42-E.Evans punts 33 yards to DEN 14, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 31-K.Abrams-Draine.
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Q1 DEN 4th & 6 at the 82Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(9:36) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 45 yards to LA 37, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.
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Q1 LA 4th & 4 at the 35Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49% p(FG) 68%
(7:30) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 30 for 5 yards (22-B.Jones). Denver challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
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Q1 DEN 4th & 6 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 86%
(1:23) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
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Q2 LA 4th & 12 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 93%
(13:21) 92-H.Mevis 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DEN 4th & 3 at the 62Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.46 EPp(convert) 55%
(11:51) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 41 yards to LA 21, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.
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Q2 LA 4th & 11 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 94%
(4:46) 92-H.Mevis 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DEN 4th & 14 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(1:18) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 47 yards to LA 8, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 19-X.Smith to LA 24 for 16 yards (51-Q.Robinson; 92-D.Tillman).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 DEN 4th & 4 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(14:08) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 62 yards to LA 0, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 19-X.Smith pushed ob at LA 10 for 10 yards (34-J.Skinner).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LA 4th & 7 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(13:04) 42-E.Evans punts 57 yards to DEN 30, Center-49-J.Cardona. 81-K.Katsis ran ob at LA 42 for 28 yards (42-E.Evans).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 LA 4th & 19 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(14:50) 42-E.Evans punts 49 yards to DEN 19, Center-49-J.Cardona. 81-K.Katsis to DEN 29 for 10 yards (56-S.Dolac; 49-J.Cardona).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 LA 4th & 15 at the 30Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 79%
(8:44) 92-H.Mevis 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 DEN 4th & 2 at the 62Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.95 EPp(convert) 62%
(7:10) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 53 yards to LA 9, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 NO 4th & 8 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(14:14) 17-R.Wright punts 47 yards to LV 24, Center-46-C.Adomitis, fair catch by 19-M.Benson.
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Q1 LV 4th & 16 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 20% p(FG) 91%
(7:39) 14-M.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LV 4th & 5 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 94%
(11:30) 14-M.Gay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NO 4th & 13 at the 81Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(9:39) 17-R.Wright punts 47 yards to LV 34, Center-46-C.Adomitis. 19-M.Benson ran ob at LV 47 for 13 yards (38-J.Price).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LV 4th & 5 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(13:37) 6-A.Cole punts 45 yards to NO 13, Center-47-A.Ward, fair catch by 38-J.Price.
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Q3 NO 4th & 15 at the 48Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 43%
(2:07) 17-R.Wright punts 38 yards to LV 10, Center-46-C.Adomitis, fair catch by 23-D.Laube.
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Q3 LV 4th & 10 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(1:47) 6-A.Cole punts 62 yards to NO 28, Center-47-A.Ward. 38-J.Price to NO 39 for 11 yards (93-P.Johnson).
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Q4 NO 4th & 1 at the 20 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 93%
(2:21) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough sacked at LV 30 for -10 yards (11-J.Chinn). FUMBLES (11-J.Chinn) [11-J.Chinn], RECOVERED by LV-3-T.Johnson at LV 32. Fumble Forced by 98-M.Crosby.
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Q4 LV 4th & 14 at the 60 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(1:44) 6-A.Cole punts 40 yards to NO 20, Center-47-A.Ward, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown →
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Q1 MIN 4th & 9 at the 36Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 68%
(10:24) 16-W.Reichard 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 TB 4th & 5 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(9:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 14, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
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Q1 MIN 4th & 8 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(2:34) 6-J.Hekker punts 48 yards to TB 9, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson pushed ob at TB 25 for 16 yards (45-M.Bredeson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 TB 4th & 2 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 60%
(1:16) 9-R.Dixon punts 48 yards to MIN 19, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 MIN 4th & 12 at the 83Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(13:56) 6-J.Hekker punts 43 yards to TB 40, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TB 4th & 4 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(12:19) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 MIN 4th & 13 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(10:15) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 48, Center-42-A.DePaola, downed by MIN-31-D.Dallas.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TB 4th & 10 at the 10Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 97%
(5:35) 4-C.McLaughlin 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TB 4th & 10 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(1:46) 9-R.Dixon punts 54 yards to MIN 20, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 MIN 4th & 4 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(1:03) 6-J.Hekker punts 51 yards to TB 23, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TB 4th & 7 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(:06) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to MIN 15, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price ran ob at MIN 25 for 10 yards (29-M.Killebrew).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 TB 4th & 9 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(12:29) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to MIN 20, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 MIN 4th & 7 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(10:30) 6-J.Hekker punts 63 yards to TB 0, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson to TB 14 for 14 yards (23-J.Pierre).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 TB 4th & 5 at the 81Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(9:38) 9-R.Dixon punts 59 yards to MIN 22, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price to MIN 32 for 10 yards (84-B.Sharp).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 TB 4th & 8 at the 20Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 92%
(7:16) 4-C.McLaughlin 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 MIN 4th & 9 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(6:09) 6-J.Hekker punts 47 yards to TB 24, Center-42-A.DePaola. 15-T.Johnson to TB 34 for 10 yards (41-J.Golday; 29-Jac.Thomas).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 MIN 4th & 7 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(1:27) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 16, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TB 4th & 4 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(14:23) 9-R.Dixon punts 53 yards to MIN 25, Center-86-E.Deckers. 4-M.Price to MIN 25 for no gain (19-K.Johnson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 MIN 4th & 5 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(13:30) 6-J.Hekker punts 36 yards to TB 34, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TB 4th & 7 at the 36Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 68%
(9:06) 4-C.McLaughlin 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 MIN 4th & 1 at the 35Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 70%
(6:08) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to TB 32 for 3 yards (22-K.Scott).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 MIN 4th & 16 at the 38 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 63%
(3:15) 16-W.Reichard 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TB 4th & 13 at the 61 late-gameChose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.48 EPp(convert) 29%
(1:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right intended for 1-K.Gainwell INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Van Ginkel [51-B.Cashman] at TB 41. 43-A.Van Ginkel to TB 41 for no gain (1-K.Gainwell). TB-6-B.Mayfield was injured during the play.
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Q4 MIN 4th & 6 at the 25 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 87%
(:37) 16-W.Reichard 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TB 4th & 1 at the 60 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70%
(:08) (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 2-I.Rodgers at MIN 3. 2-I.Rodgers to MIN 3 for no gain (17-T.Hurst).
See the full breakdown →
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Q1 JAX 4th & 1 at the 79Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.51 EPp(convert) 74%
(13:14) 9-L.Cooke punts 51 yards to NE 28, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 NE 4th & 9 at the 45Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 44%
(10:20) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 33 yards to JAX 12, Center-47-J.Ashby, downed by NE-36-C.Latu.
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Q1 JAX 4th & 2 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 62%
(7:52) 9-L.Cooke punts 40 yards to NE 28, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 25-M.Jones pushed ob at NE 29 for 1 yard (27-C.Ransaw; 19-J.Cameron).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NE 4th & 3 at the 73Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.46 EPp(convert) 56%
(11:23) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 73 yards to end zone, Center-47-J.Ashby, Touchback.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NE 4th & 6 at the 17Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 94%
(9:12) 8-A.Borregales 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 JAX 4th & 3 at the 52Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54% p(FG) 27%
(:03) 39-C.Little 70 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 NE 4th & 1 at the 53Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 25%
(13:23) 38-R.Stevenson up the middle to 50 for 3 yards (47-D.Gardeck). PENALTY on JAX-6-A.Johnson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.
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Q3 NE 4th & 6 at the 20Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 92%
(9:54) 8-A.Borregales 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NE 4th & 16 at the 22Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 90%
(13:21) 8-A.Borregales 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NE 4th & 7 at the 25 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.66 EPp(convert) 35% p(FG) 87%
(2:39) (Shotgun) 16-T.DeVito pass incomplete deep left to 3-D.Douglas.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 JAX 4th & 8 at the 73 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(:34) 9-L.Cooke punts 51 yards to NE 22, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 86-E.Chism pushed ob at NE 40 for 18 yards (19-J.Cameron).
See the full breakdown →
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Q1 NYJ 4th & 1 at the 60Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.29 EPp(convert) 69%
(12:54) 14-A.McNamara punts 47 yards to DET 13, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 85-T.Kennedy.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 DET 4th & 17 at the 52Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 33%
(8:21) 3-J.Fox punts 43 yards to NYJ 9, Center-49-H.Hatten, downed by DET-17-T.Martin.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 NYJ 4th & 9 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(2:26) 14-A.McNamara punts 26 yards to DET 29, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-27-M.Moore.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 DET 4th & 19 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(:23) 3-J.Fox punts 42 yards to NYJ 20, Center-49-H.Hatten, fair catch by 18-I.Williams.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NYJ 4th & 15 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(15:00) 14-A.McNamara punts 57 yards to DET 28, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 85-T.Kennedy to DET 39 for 11 yards (37-Q.Stiggers). ** Injury Update: NYJ-37-Q.Stiggers has returned to the game.
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Q2 DET 4th & 8 at the 12Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 97%
(9:38) 39-J.Bates 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DET 4th & 2 at the 9Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 58% p(FG) 98%
(1:47) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 18-I.TeSlaa to NYJ 4 for 5 yards (8-A.Cisco).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 DET 4th & 1 at the 45Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73% p(FG) 50%
(8:37) 0-J.Gibbs left tackle to NYJ 45 for no gain (52-K.Enagbare). Penalty on DET, Illegal Formation, declined.
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Q4 NYJ 4th & 6 at the 23 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.51 EPp(convert) 35% p(FG) 91%
(4:11) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 5-G.Wilson to DET 1 for 22 yards (4-D.Reed). Penalty on DET-4-D.Reed, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. New York Jets challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 5-G.Wilson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DET-4-D.Reed, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
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Q1 CHI 4th & 1 at the 32Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 78%
(10:52) 11-C.Keenum pass short left to 87-S.Roush to PHI 16 for 16 yards (53-Z.Baun).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 PHI 4th & 12 at the 46Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 45%
(6:15) 10-B.Mann punts 30 yards to CHI 16, Center-41-R.Underwood, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 CHI 4th & 6 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 35%
(2:02) 19-T.Taylor punts 50 yards to end zone, Center-46-S.Daly, Touchback.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CHI 4th & 3 at the 3Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 99%
(14:02) (Shotgun) 11-C.Keenum pass incomplete short left to 10-L.Burden (27-Q.Mitchell).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CHI 4th & 11 at the 11Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 97%
(1:56) 8-C.Santos 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PHI 4th & 5 at the 75Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(13:34) 10-B.Mann punts 43 yards to CHI 32, Center-41-R.Underwood, fair catch by 14-K.Raymond.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CHI 4th & 5 at the 30Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 81%
(10:21) 8-C.Santos 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PHI 4th & 12 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(8:47) 10-B.Mann punts 44 yards to CHI 23, Center-41-R.Underwood. 14-K.Raymond to CHI 29 for 6 yards (83-J.Mundt).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PHI 4th & 6 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(3:22) 10-B.Mann punts 50 yards to CHI 6, Center-41-R.Underwood. 14-K.Raymond to CHI 15 for 9 yards (59-C.Campbell; 80-D.Cooper). CHI-14-K.Raymond was injured during the play.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CHI 4th & 12 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(2:45) 19-T.Taylor punts 55 yards to PHI 32, Center-46-S.Daly. 85-B.Covey pushed ob at CHI 47 for 21 yards (87-S.Roush). PENALTY on PHI-7-K.Ringo, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at PHI 40.
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Q3 PHI 4th & 5 at the 46Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45% p(FG) 45%
(:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 6-D.Smith INTERCEPTED by 53-T.Edwards at CHI 42. 53-T.Edwards to CHI 42 for no gain (9-M.Lemon).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CHI 4th & 1 at the 34 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 74%
(2:00) 65-L.Newman reported in as eligible. 4-D.Swift left tackle to PHI 19 for 15 yards (2-T.Woolen).
See the full breakdown →
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Q1 SEA 4th & 10 at the 52Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 23%
(12:36) 4-M.Dickson punts 52 yards to end zone, Center-41-C.Stoll, Touchback.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 WAS 4th & 4 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(11:17) 10-T.Way punts 60 yards to SEA 14, Center-69-T.Ott. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 20 for 6 yards (18-T.Owens; 51-A.Kaho).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 SEA 4th & 2 at the 72Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.72 EPp(convert) 66%
(7:37) 4-M.Dickson punts 44 yards to WAS 28, Center-41-C.Stoll, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 WAS 4th & 11 at the 51Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 25%
(3:33) 10-T.Way punts 41 yards to SEA 10, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 WAS 4th & 11 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(11:29) 10-T.Way punts 46 yards to SEA 11, Center-69-T.Ott. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 21 for 10 yards (51-A.Kaho).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 SEA 4th & 9 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(10:28) 4-M.Dickson punts 38 yards to WAS 40, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 83-J.Lane.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 SEA 4th & 2 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57% p(FG) 99%
(1:51) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to 88-A.Barner (39-J.Reaves) [56-K.Medrano].
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 WAS 4th & 10 at the 98Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(1:24) 10-T.Way punts 52 yards to SEA 46, Center-69-T.Ott. 22-R.Shaheed pushed ob at WAS 41 for 13 yards (82-B.Sinnott). ** Injury Update: WAS-82-B.Sinnott has returned to the game.
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Q2 SEA 4th & 8 at the 39Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 56%
(:57) 5-J.Myers 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 WAS 4th & 2 at the 39Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57% p(FG) 56%
(:03) 19-D.Stevens 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
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Q3 WAS 4th & 2 at the 58Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.90 EPp(convert) 59%
(13:30) 10-T.Way punts 40 yards to SEA 18, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
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Q3 WAS 4th & 5 at the 69Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(5:11) 10-T.Way punts 54 yards to SEA 15, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
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Q3 SEA 4th & 9 at the 84Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(4:21) 4-M.Dickson punts 40 yards to WAS 44, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 83-J.Lane.
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Q3 WAS 4th & 14 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 27%
(1:22) 10-T.Way punts 50 yards to end zone, Center-69-T.Ott, Touchback.
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Q4 WAS 4th & 1 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 56%
(8:40) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin to SEA 34 for 5 yards (29-J.Jobe).
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Q4 WAS 4th & 6 at the 18 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 93%
(4:39) 19-D.Stevens 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
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Q1 TEN 4th & 5 at the 84Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(10:59) 3-T.Townsend punts 55 yards to NYG 29, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.
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Q1 NYG 4th & 3 at the 21Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.62 EPp(convert) 51% p(FG) 91%
(6:37) 34-D.Zvada 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
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Q1 TEN 4th & 3 at the 58Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.48 EPp(convert) 52%
(4:19) 3-T.Townsend punts 53 yards to NYG 5, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.
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Q1 NYG 4th & 4 at the 89Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.61 EPp(convert) 55%
(2:53) 15-J.Stout punts 43 yards to TEN 46, Center-58-B.Mann. 17-C.Dike to TEN 47 for 1 yard (28-E.Campbell).
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Q1 TEN 4th & 9 at the 52Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 25%
(1:20) 3-T.Townsend punts 41 yards to NYG 11, Center-46-M.Cox. 87-B.Berrios to NYG 18 for 7 yards (36-J.Chestnut).
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Q2 NYG 4th & 10 at the 82Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(13:50) 15-J.Stout punts 74 yards to TEN 8, Center-58-B.Mann. 17-C.Dike to TEN 27 for 19 yards (52-A.Reese). PENALTY on TEN-21-M.Robinson, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at TEN 19. Penalty on TEN-41-E.Hallett, Offensive Holding, declined.
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Q2 TEN 4th & 7 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(12:08) 3-T.Townsend punts 45 yards to NYG 42, Center-46-M.Cox. 87-B.Berrios to NYG 47 for 5 yards (56-T.Jones).
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Q2 NYG 4th & 9 at the 9Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 97%
(4:53) 34-D.Zvada 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
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Q2 TEN 4th & 4 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(3:05) 3-T.Townsend punts 45 yards to NYG 14, Center-46-M.Cox, downed by TEN-21-M.Robinson.
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Q2 NYG 4th & 11 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(1:34) 15-J.Stout punts 54 yards to TEN 33, Center-58-B.Mann. 17-C.Dike ran ob at TEN 47 for 14 yards (29-T.Tracy).
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Q2 TEN 4th & 14 at the 41Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 52%
(:46) 6-J.Slye 59 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-T.Townsend.
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Q3 NYG 4th & 11 at the 11Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 97%
(7:00) 34-D.Zvada 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
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Q3 TEN 4th & 5 at the 7Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 98%
(1:11) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short left to 84-G.Helm [49-T.Edmunds].
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Q4 NYG 4th & 15 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(12:55) 15-J.Stout punts 64 yards to TEN 21, Center-58-B.Mann. 17-C.Dike MUFFS catch, and recovers at TEN 18. 17-C.Dike to TEN 30 for 12 yards (58-B.Mann). PENALTY on TEN-41-E.Hallett, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at TEN 18.
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Q4 NYG 4th & 10 at the 46 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.35 EPp(convert) 35% p(FG) 39%
(3:12) 15-J.Stout punts 38 yards to TEN 8, Center-58-B.Mann, fair catch by 17-C.Dike. PENALTY on NYG-28-E.Campbell, Fair Catch Interference, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 8.
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