Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 6 at the 72

Dallas Cowboys 28 – Baltimore Ravens 24

(5:57) 5-B.Anger punts 60 yards to BAL 12, Center-44-T.Sieg. 10-L.Wester to BAL 36 for 24 yards (27-R.Steward; 89-B.Spann-Ford).

The Three Options

GO -1.55 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.35 EP
54% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 72, worth -3.98 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model