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Minnesota Vikings

HC Kevin O'Connell
@
TB Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HC Todd Bowles
Sunday 2026-09-27 · 16:05 Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US ❓ Unknown Spread 1.5 O/U 44.5

Win Probability

MIN
38.1%
TB
61.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • Baker Mayfield (TB): -0.083 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

MIN 22
TB 23
Projected margin: TB by 1 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 3

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.