Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cleveland Browns 4th & 9 at the 66

Cleveland Browns 10 – Carolina Panthers 9

(2:18) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to CAR 13, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.62 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.28 EP
66% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model