Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 10 at the 98

Washington Commanders 14 – Seattle Seahawks 7

What Actually Happened

(1:24) 10-T.Way punts 52 yards to SEA 46, Center-69-T.Ott. 22-R.Shaheed pushed ob at WAS 41 for 13 yards (82-B.Sinnott). ** Injury Update: WAS-82-B.Sinnott has returned to the game.

The Three Options

GO -3.83 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 88, worth -0.01 EP
62% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 98, worth -6.13 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (115 yards).

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model