Fourth-Down Analyzer
Every 4th-down decision from every game this week, priced in expected points by the same submodels shown on each game's own page, just gathered here one week at a time instead of one game at a time. The objective: see which calls matched what the numbers say and which ones cost the most, across the whole week at a glance.
How It Works → · How the go/kick/punt math works →
-
Q1 BAL 4th & 3 at the 3Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.27 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 99%
(10:30) 33-T.Loop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 ATL 4th & 6 at the 79Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(9:41) 16-J.Bailey punts 56 yards to BAL 23, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 10-L.Wester.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 BAL 4th & 5 at the 49Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46% p(FG) 40%
(4:53) 30-R.Eckley punts 37 yards to ATL 12, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 14-O.Zaccheaus.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 ATL 4th & 2 at the 60Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.79 EPp(convert) 61%
(2:39) 16-J.Bailey punts 46 yards to BAL 14, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 10-L.Wester.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 BAL 4th & 8 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(12:30) 30-R.Eckley punts 54 yards to ATL 6, Center-46-N.Moore. 14-O.Zaccheaus to ATL 18 for 12 yards (46-N.Moore). PENALTY on ATL-28-M.Ford, Offensive Holding, 3 yards, enforced at ATL 6.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 ATL 4th & 5 at the 92Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.37 EPp(convert) 50%
(10:48) 16-J.Bailey punts 56 yards to BAL 36, Center-49-L.McCullough. 10-L.Wester to BAL 47 for 11 yards (28-M.Ford; 29-S.Brown).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 BAL 4th & 7 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 77%
(8:08) 33-T.Loop 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 BAL 4th & 17 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 77%
(:03) 33-T.Loop 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 ATL 4th & 5 at the 5Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.71 EPp(convert) 39% p(FG) 98%
(9:55) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 ATL 4th & 2 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 65%
(3:47) 62-C.Levin reported in as eligible. 9-M.Penix pass short left to 89-C.Woerner to BAL 41 for -2 yards (9-Z.Young) [44-M.Humphrey]. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 62-C.Levin reported in as eligible. 9-M.Penix pass incomplete short left to 89-C.Woerner [44-M.Humphrey]. ** Injury Update: BAL-14-K.Hamilton has returned to the game.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 BAL 4th & 11 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(1:38) 30-R.Eckley punts 42 yards to ATL 20, Center-46-N.Moore. 17-Z.Branch to ATL 37 for 17 yards (39-K.Jackson). PENALTY on ATL-29-S.Brown, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at ATL 20.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 ATL 4th & 9 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 95%
(8:06) 6-N.Folk 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 BAL 4th & 4 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(6:30) 30-R.Eckley punts 44 yards to ATL 18, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 17-Z.Branch.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 ATL 4th & 5 at the 30 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 82%
(2:35) 6-N.Folk 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 ATL 4th & 6 at the 55 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(:08) 16-J.Bailey punts 55 yards to end zone, Center-49-L.McCullough, Touchback.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 BUF 4th & 15 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 81%
(13:28) 16-T.Bass 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 LA 4th & 1 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 65%
(8:00) 23-K.Williams left guard to BUF 37 for 2 yards (24-C.Bishop; 21-D.Igbinosun).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 LA 4th & 5 at the 32Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45% p(FG) 79%
(5:40) 92-H.Mevis 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 BUF 4th & 3 at the 5Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.81 EPp(convert) 51% p(FG) 98%
(:13) 16-T.Bass 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LA 4th & 9 at the 43Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.55 EPp(convert) 37% p(FG) 55%
(2:00) 42-E.Evans punts 31 yards to BUF 12, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 19-G.Dortch.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LA 4th & 6 at the 40Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 63%
(11:50) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to BUF 30 for 10 yards (24-C.Bishop).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LA 4th & 4 at the 87Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.36 EPp(convert) 56%
(6:56) 42-E.Evans punts 62 yards to BUF 25, Center-49-J.Cardona. 19-G.Dortch pushed ob at BUF 39 for 14 yards (33-D.Connors; 89-T.Higbee).
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 CHI 4th & 15 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(12:13) 19-T.Taylor punts 53 yards to GB 9, Center-46-S.Daly, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 GB 4th & 1 at the 24Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 89%
(2:37) (Shotgun) 22-P.Strong right guard to CHI 22 for 2 yards (55-D.Odeyingbo).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CHI 4th & 6 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(13:26) 19-T.Taylor punts 51 yards to GB 20, Center-46-S.Daly, downed by CHI-9-J.Walker.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 GB 4th & 2 at the 72Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.95 EPp(convert) 65%
(11:13) 19-D.Whelan punts 59 yards to CHI 13, Center-42-M.Orzech. 14-K.Raymond to CHI 22 for 9 yards (87-J.Sturdivant).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CHI 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 99%
(1:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Swift left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 GB 4th & 6 at the 75Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(1:36) 19-D.Whelan punts 75 yards to end zone, Center-42-M.Orzech, Touchback. PENALTY on CHI-24-M.Muhammad, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CHI 20.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CHI 4th & 10 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(:51) 19-T.Taylor punts 56 yards to GB 34, Center-46-S.Daly. 0-M.Golden ran ob at CHI 49 for 17 yards (87-S.Roush).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CHI 4th & 11 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 88%
(8:40) 8-C.Santos 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 GB 4th & 11 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(6:22) 19-D.Whelan punts 41 yards to CHI 13, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 14-K.Raymond.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CHI 4th & 3 at the 80Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.62 EPp(convert) 59%
(4:20) 19-T.Taylor punts 52 yards to GB 28, Center-46-S.Daly. 0-M.Golden pushed ob at GB 38 for 10 yards (38-S.Thomas).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 GB 4th & 11 at the 17Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 94%
(2:02) 28-T.Smack 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CHI 4th & 4 at the 61Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52%
(1:16) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass short middle to 84-C.Loveland to CHI 46 for 7 yards (58-I.McDuffie).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CHI 4th & 9 at the 9Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 98%
(12:58) (Shotgun) 11-C.Keenum pass short middle intended for 15-R.Odunze INTERCEPTED by 59-T.Hopper [90-L.Van Ness] at GB -1. 59-T.Hopper to GB 19 for 20 yards (23-R.Johnson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 GB 4th & 3 at the 24Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.76 EPp(convert) 52% p(FG) 89%
(9:50) 28-T.Smack 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CHI 4th & 3 at the 40Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54% p(FG) 58%
(8:36) (Shotgun) 11-C.Keenum pass short right to 15-R.Odunze to GB 31 for 9 yards (44-Z.Franklin). FUMBLES (44-Z.Franklin), touched at GB 37, RECOVERED by GB-33-E.Williams at GB 43.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 GB 4th & 6 at the 29Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 82%
(5:25) 28-T.Smack 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 GB 4th & 4 at the 53 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.52 EPp(convert) 51% p(FG) 26%
(3:18) 19-D.Whelan punts 46 yards to CHI 7, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 13-Z.Thomas.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 CIN 4th & 9 at the 52Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 28%
(5:34) 8-R.Rehkow punts 44 yards to MIA 8, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 MIA 4th & 9 at the 91Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(4:40) 48-B.Pinion punts 57 yards to CIN 34, Center-46-T.Addington. 81-D.Meyers to CIN 42 for 8 yards (83-S.Traore).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 MIA 4th & 1 at the 46Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 42%
(:09) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis pass short left to 85-G.Dulcich to CIN 33 for 13 yards (49-B.Carter).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 MIA 4th & 10 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(13:14) 48-B.Pinion punts 59 yards to CIN 12, Center-46-T.Addington. 81-D.Meyers to CIN 17 for 5 yards (42-J.Woodard; 32-J.Simpson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CIN 4th & 6 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(10:51) 8-R.Rehkow punts 66 yards to MIA 2, Center-46-W.Wagner. 6-M.Washington to MIA 30 for 28 yards (47-S.Bozeman; 34-S.Perine).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 MIA 4th & 11 at the 11Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 97%
(5:16) 47-R.Patterson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CIN 4th & 2 at the 54 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.79 EPp(convert) 61%
(2:45) 8-R.Rehkow punts 45 yards to MIA 9, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CIN 4th & 8 at the 8 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 98%
(2:13) 2-E.McPherson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 CLE 4th & 11 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(12:58) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 67 yards to end zone, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Touchback.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 CLE 4th & 5 at the 7Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.94 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 98%
(3:30) 25-A.Szmyt 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 CLE 4th & 7 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(1:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to NYJ 9, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 18-I.Williams.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NYJ 4th & 15 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(13:32) 14-A.McNamara punts 40 yards to CLE 31, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 12-D.Boston. PENALTY on NYJ-84-M.McClain, Fair Catch Interference, 15 yards, enforced at CLE 31.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CLE 4th & 10 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 90%
(10:19) 25-A.Szmyt 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NYJ 4th & 10 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(8:40) 14-A.McNamara punts 33 yards to CLE 37, Center-42-T.Hennessy, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CLE 4th & 14 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(6:24) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 36 yards to NYJ 31, Center-50-R.Sunahara, downed by CLE-31-D.McMillon.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NYJ 4th & 12 at the 48Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 38%
(1:30) 14-A.McNamara punts 37 yards to CLE 11, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 12-D.Boston.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 CLE 4th & 8 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(:10) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 51 yards to NYJ 12, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams to NYJ 30 for 18 yards (31-D.McMillon; 34-M.Burton).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 NYJ 4th & 3 at the 47Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.32 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 41%
(11:56) 14-A.McNamara punts 38 yards to CLE 9, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-37-Q.Stiggers.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CLE 4th & 8 at the 89Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(10:22) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 56 yards to NYJ 33, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams to CLE 47 for 20 yards (24-D.Thomas; 98-A.Huntington).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 CLE 4th & 2 at the 85Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.73 EPp(convert) 63%
(3:49) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 61 yards to NYJ 24, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams to NYJ 37 for 13 yards (11-M.Corley).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NYJ 4th & 7 at the 36Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 69%
(14:42) 19-J.Sanders 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NYJ 4th & 1 at the 60Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.20 EPp(convert) 67%
(10:45) 14-A.McNamara punts 46 yards to CLE 14, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 12-D.Boston.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CLE 4th & 10 at the 43 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 52%
(4:01) (Punt formation) 13-C.Bojorquez FUMBLES (Aborted) at CLE 42, touched at CLE 28, RECOVERED by NYJ-49-T.Wallace at CLE 23.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CLE 4th & 19 at the 63 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24%
(2:13) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 39 yards to NYJ 24, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NYJ 4th & 4 at the 70 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(1:48) 14-A.McNamara punts 50 yards to CLE 20, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 12-D.Boston.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 CLE 4th & 11 at the 81 late-gameChose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.32 EPp(convert) 34%
(:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at CLE 19 for 0 yards (9-W.McDonald). FUMBLES (9-W.McDonald) [9-W.McDonald], touched at CLE 18, RECOVERED by NYJ-9-W.McDonald at CLE 17.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 DEN 4th & 3 at the 47Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.61 EPp(convert) 52% p(FG) 45%
(10:02) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 30 yards to LAC 17, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 LAC 4th & 2 at the 52Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.88 EPp(convert) 58% p(FG) 33%
(4:12) 16-J.Scott punts 37 yards to DEN 15, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 DEN 4th & 12 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(1:38) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 50 yards to LAC 37, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 12-D.Davis to LAC 38 for 1 yard (34-J.Skinner).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LAC 4th & 17 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(15:00) 16-J.Scott punts 50 yards to DEN 9, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DEN 4th & 3 at the 84Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.62 EPp(convert) 57%
(13:19) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 41 yards to LAC 43, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LAC 4th & 10 at the 24Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 90%
(8:21) 11-C.Dicker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DEN 4th & 1 at the 56Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70%
(5:19) 10-B.Nix up the middle to DEN 45 for 1 yard (92-J.Eboigbe). Los Angeles Chargers challenged the first down ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DEN 4th & 7 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 95%
(1:52) 3-W.Lutz 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LAC 4th & 10 at the 73Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(1:29) 16-J.Scott punts 53 yards to DEN 20, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 DEN 4th & 6 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(4:14) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 58 yards to LAC 3, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LAC 4th & 10 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(1:26) 16-J.Scott punts 56 yards to DEN 31, Center-47-J.Harris. 19-M.Mims to DEN 40 for 9 yards (58-M.Wax).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 DEN 4th & 6 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(14:55) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 49 yards to LAC 18, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 LAC 4th & 18 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27%
(13:16) 16-J.Scott punts 43 yards to DEN 47, Center-47-J.Harris. 19-M.Mims to LAC 27 for 26 yards (28-K.Vidal; 33-D.Leonard).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 DEN 4th & 7 at the 24Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 90%
(12:08) 3-W.Lutz 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 LAC 4th & 1 at the 59Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69%
(10:33) 10-J.Herbert right guard to LAC 41 for no gain (51-Q.Robinson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 DEN 4th & 1 at the 1Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +2.07 EPp(convert) 64% p(FG) 99%
(5:10) 3-W.Lutz 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 LAC 4th & 6 at the 69 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(3:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 13-M.Valdes-Scantling INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones at LAC 41. 22-B.Jones to LAC 34 for 7 yards (13-M.Valdes-Scantling).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 DEN 4th & 7 at the 18 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 94%
(1:12) 3-W.Lutz 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 DET 4th & 17 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(13:08) 3-J.Fox punts 49 yards to ARI 27, Center-49-H.Hatten, fair catch by 81-D.Duvernay.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 ARI 4th & 1 at the 9Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 98%
(5:56) (Shotgun) 14-Mi.Wilson pass short right to 7-J.Brissett to DET 2 for 7 yards (46-J.Campbell; 2-E.Rakestraw).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 DET 4th & 13 at the 77Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(3:46) 3-J.Fox punts 57 yards to ARI 20, Center-49-H.Hatten. 81-D.Duvernay pushed ob at ARI 34 for 14 yards (55-D.Barnes). PENALTY on ARI-35-K.King, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at ARI 28.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 ARI 4th & 7 at the 79Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(2:07) 12-B.Gillikin punts 44 yards to DET 35, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 85-T.Kennedy to ARI 43 for 22 yards (0-C.Simon; 12-B.Gillikin).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 DET 4th & 9 at the 42Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 58%
(:28) 3-J.Fox punts 29 yards to ARI 13, Center-49-H.Hatten, fair catch by 81-D.Duvernay.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 ARI 4th & 12 at the 89Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(14:30) 12-B.Gillikin punts 54 yards to DET 35, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 85-T.Kennedy to DET 46 for 11 yards (80-S.Fehoko; 42-D.Taylor-Demerson). DET-85-T.Kennedy was injured during the play.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DET 4th & 3 at the 47Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 56% p(FG) 45%
(13:37) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to ARI 35 for 12 yards (29-D.Burke). PENALTY on ARI-1-Ma.Wilson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at ARI 35.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 ARI 4th & 7 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(11:07) 12-B.Gillikin punts 54 yards to DET 17, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 14-A.St. Brown to DET 48 for 31 yards (80-S.Fehoko; 0-C.Simon). FUMBLES (80-S.Fehoko), recovered by DET-17-T.Martin at ARI 47.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DET 4th & 1 at the 38Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 68%
(9:38) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 ARI 4th & 3 at the 64Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.63 EPp(convert) 56%
(8:36) 12-B.Gillikin punts 39 yards to DET 25, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 14-A.St. Brown.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DET 4th & 4 at the 8Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46% p(FG) 98%
(4:55) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 ARI 4th & 9 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(3:15) 12-B.Gillikin punts 43 yards to DET 33, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 14-A.St. Brown to DET 38 for 5 yards (0-C.Simon).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DET 4th & 7 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 86%
(:57) 39-J.Bates 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 ARI 4th & 17 at the 35Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 74%
(12:24) 38-C.Ryland 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 DET 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 99%
(1:07) 16-J.Goff up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 ARI 4th & 1 at the 19Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 94%
(13:03) 7-J.Brissett sacked at DET 20 for -1 yards (sack split by 97-A.Hutchinson and 44-M.Rodriguez).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 ARI 4th & 9 at the 9 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 98%
(2:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 85-T.McBride for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 DET 4th & 5 at the 67 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(:34) 3-J.Fox punts 65 yards to ARI 2, Center-49-H.Hatten, downed by DET-17-T.Martin.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 TEN 4th & 4 at the 12Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.40 EPp(convert) 39% p(FG) 97%
(10:42) 6-J.Slye 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-T.Townsend.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 HOU 4th & 5 at the 51Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.32 EPp(convert) 45% p(FG) 31%
(9:12) 38-K.Kroeger punts 38 yards to TEN 13, Center-40-A.Brinkman, downed by HOU-23-D.Ogunbowale.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 TEN 4th & 10 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(7:43) 3-T.Townsend punts 48 yards to HOU 39, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 13-J.Noel. PENALTY on HOU-34-B.Hall, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 39.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 HOU 4th & 13 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 85%
(2:27) 15-K.Fairbairn 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 HOU 4th & 2 at the 17Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.13 EPp(convert) 56% p(FG) 94%
(13:37) 15-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 HOU 4th & 6 at the 7Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.87 EPp(convert) 37% p(FG) 98%
(6:59) 15-K.Fairbairn 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TEN 4th & 7 at the 77Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(5:57) 3-T.Townsend punts 56 yards to HOU 21, Center-46-M.Cox. 13-J.Noel to HOU 31 for 10 yards (5-E.Ayomanor).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 HOU 4th & 8 at the 35Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 71%
(1:20) 15-K.Fairbairn 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TEN 4th & 9 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 27%
(:16) 3-T.Townsend punts 42 yards to HOU 11, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 13-J.Noel.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 TEN 4th & 15 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(2:20) 3-T.Townsend punts 42 yards to HOU 15, Center-46-M.Cox. 13-J.Noel pushed ob at HOU 26 for 11 yards (86-K.Granson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TEN 4th & 20 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 20% p(FG) 51%
(8:57) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 43 for -14 yards (51-W.Anderson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TEN 4th & 19 at the 52 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.47 EPp(convert) 22% p(FG) 29%
(:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 35 for -13 yards (51-W.Anderson).
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 IND 4th & 5 at the 39Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.51 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 62%
(9:02) 3-S.Shrader 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 IND 4th & 5 at the 38Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.42 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 64%
(7:00) 3-S.Shrader 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 IND 4th & 1 at the 25Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 88%
(11:44) 17-D.Jones up the middle to PIT 23 for 2 yards (23-D.Everette).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 IND 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 64% p(FG) 99%
(7:48) 84-T.Warren up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 PIT 4th & 5 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(6:10) 19-C.Johnston punts 59 yards to IND 4, Center-46-C.Kuntz, out of bounds. PENALTY on IND-34-K.Gushiken, Offensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at IND 4.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 IND 4th & 12 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(2:52) 8-R.Sanchez punts 52 yards to PIT 12, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 10-K.Wetjen to PIT 12 for no gain (80-D.Burks).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 PIT 4th & 2 at the 30Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57% p(FG) 81%
(:25) 9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 IND 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.90 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 98%
(10:25) 3-S.Shrader 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PIT 4th & 1 at the 51Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 31%
(7:54) Direct snap to 88-P.Freiermuth. 88-P.Freiermuth up the middle to 50 for 1 yard (99-D.Buckner; 90-G.Stewart).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 IND 4th & 8 at the 22Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 91%
(2:17) 3-S.Shrader 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PIT 4th & 20 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(1:23) 19-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to IND 39, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-26-B.Echols.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 IND 4th & 10 at the 10Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 97%
(11:46) 3-S.Shrader 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 PIT 4th & 1 at the 22Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 91%
(7:56) (Shotgun) 30-J.Warren left guard to IND 21 for 1 yard (99-D.Buckner).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 IND 4th & 3 at the 58Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54%
(5:13) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 10-K.Allen to IND 46 for 4 yards (23-D.Everette).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 IND 4th & 17 at the 61 late-gameChose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.87 EPp(convert) 27%
(4:17) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep left to 2-J.Downs (41-P.Wilson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 PIT 4th & 7 at the 36 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 69%
(3:47) 9-C.Boswell 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 IND 4th & 15 at the 46 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 43%
(2:41) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 10-K.Allen (22-A.Samuel).
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 LV 4th & 6 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(14:02) 6-A.Cole punts 40 yards to NE 21, Center-47-A.Ward, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 NE 4th & 2 at the 48Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 61% p(FG) 41%
(4:35) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short right to 3-D.Douglas pushed ob at LV 42 for 6 yards (3-T.Johnson).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 NE 4th & 3 at the 8Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49% p(FG) 98%
(2:34) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 85-H.Henry to LV 1 for 7 yards (31-T.Stukes).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LV 4th & 5 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(14:56) 6-A.Cole punts 59 yards to NE 9, Center-47-A.Ward. 25-M.Jones to NE 23 for 14 yards (47-A.Ward; 34-C.Heyward). PENALTY on LV-93-P.Johnson, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at NE 23.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NE 4th & 16 at the 40Chose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.35 EPp(convert) 27% p(FG) 62%
(11:00) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 27 yards to LV 13, Center-47-J.Ashby, downed by NE-50-G.Jacas.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LV 4th & 15 at the 40Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 62%
(5:20) 6-A.Cole punts 40 yards to end zone, Center-47-A.Ward, Touchback.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 LV 4th & 14 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 80%
(1:56) 14-M.Gay 49 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LV 4th & 5 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(11:38) 6-A.Cole punts 53 yards to NE 10, Center-47-A.Ward. 25-M.Jones to NE 25 for 15 yards (20-I.Pola-Mao). PENALTY on NE-48-N.Obiazor, Illegal Blindside Block, 12 yards, enforced at NE 25.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 NE 4th & 8 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(9:59) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 54 yards to LV 31, Center-47-J.Ashby. 83-D.Thompkins to LV 49 for 18 yards (54-D.Muasau).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LV 4th & 13 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 23% p(FG) 86%
(8:34) 14-M.Gay 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 LV 4th & 3 at the 51Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 34%
(2:04) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 89-B.Bowers to NE 36 for 15 yards (28-K.Vildor; 31-K.Byard). FUMBLES (28-K.Vildor), RECOVERED by NE-4-C.Woodson at NE 34.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NE 4th & 9 at the 9Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 98%
(14:15) 8-A.Borregales 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 LV 4th & 4 at the 14 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 96%
(2:42) (Shotgun) 15-F.Mendoza scrambles right end pushed ob at NE 11 for 3 yards (33-M.Brown).
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 MIN 4th & 6 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 92%
(9:08) 16-W.Reichard 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 NO 4th & 9 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(7:48) 17-R.Wright punts 56 yards to MIN 16, Center-46-C.Adomitis. 4-M.Price pushed ob at MIN 30 for 14 yards (44-I.Stalbird).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NO 4th & 2 at the 41Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57% p(FG) 60%
(13:01) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 12-C.Olave to MIN 36 for 5 yards (51-B.Cashman).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NO 4th & 1 at the 27Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 86%
(11:13) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short left to 14-D.Vele to MIN 23 for 4 yards (23-J.Pierre).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 MIN 4th & 2 at the 60Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.65 EPp(convert) 57%
(6:15) 19-B.Thorson punts 39 yards to NO 21, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 19-B.Brown.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NO 4th & 5 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(4:57) 17-R.Wright punts 64 yards to MIN 10, Center-46-C.Adomitis. 4-M.Price pushed ob at NO 47 for 43 yards (31-J.Howden).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 MIN 4th & 14 at the 51Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 35%
(3:05) 19-B.Thorson punts 38 yards to NO 13, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 19-B.Brown.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NO 4th & 8 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(1:56) 17-R.Wright punts 54 yards to MIN 31, Center-46-C.Adomitis, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 MIN 4th & 7 at the 36Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 72%
(:03) 16-W.Reichard 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 MIN 4th & 6 at the 37Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 70%
(7:06) 16-W.Reichard 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NO 4th & 7 at the 44Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 53%
(5:05) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 83-J.Johnson to MIN 38 for 6 yards (7-B.Murphy).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 MIN 4th & 2 at the 54 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.52 EPp(convert) 56%
(4:01) 19-B.Thorson punts 54 yards to end zone, Center-42-A.DePaola, Touchback.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 NYG 4th & 12 at the 32Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 78%
(7:15) 34-D.Zvada 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 WAS 4th & 14 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(6:00) 10-T.Way punts 52 yards to NYG 12, Center-69-T.Ott. 89-C.Jones pushed ob at NYG 24 for 12 yards (39-J.Reaves).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 NYG 4th & 2 at the 68Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.66 EPp(convert) 62%
(3:47) 15-J.Stout punts 55 yards to WAS 13, Center-58-B.Mann. 14-A.Williams to WAS 15 for 2 yards (46-Z.Barnes).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 WAS 4th & 18 at the 93Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(2:46) 10-T.Way punts 59 yards to NYG 34, Center-69-T.Ott. 89-C.Jones pushed ob at NYG 45 for 11 yards (80-C.Yankoff).
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 NYG 4th & 8 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 76%
(1:00) 34-D.Zvada 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 WAS 4th & 9 at the 9Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 98%
(9:00) 19-D.Stevens 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 WAS 4th & 10 at the 84Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(3:01) 10-T.Way punts 55 yards to NYG 29, Center-69-T.Ott. 89-C.Jones to NYG 45 for 16 yards (36-D.Hall; 82-B.Sinnott). ** Injury Update: WAS-39-J.Reaves has returned to the game.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 WAS 4th & 5 at the 22Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 91%
(1:06) 19-D.Stevens 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 NYG 4th & 10 at the 39Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 63%
(:07) 34-D.Zvada 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 NYG 4th & 2 at the 37Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.19 EPp(convert) 58% p(FG) 68%
(10:58) 34-D.Zvada 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 NYG 4th & 4 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48% p(FG) 53%
(5:33) (Shotgun) 19-J.Winston pass short right to 29-T.Tracy to WAS 22 for 21 yards (39-J.Reaves; 29-R.Douglas).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 NYG 4th & 8 at the 17Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 94%
(7:24) (Shotgun) 19-J.Winston pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to WAS 1 for 16 yards (20-Q.Martin, 29-R.Douglas) [45-K.Chaisson]. FUMBLES (29-R.Douglas), RECOVERED by WAS-29-R.Douglas at WAS -5. Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 19-J.Winston pass short middle to 9-I.Likely for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [45-K.Chaisson].
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 WAS 4th & 14 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(5:07) 10-T.Way punts 52 yards to NYG 15, Center-69-T.Ott. 89-C.Jones to NYG 28 for 13 yards (57-A.Keys; 39-J.Reaves).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 WAS 4th & 13 at the 54 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(:15) 10-T.Way punts 52 yards to NYG 2, Center-69-T.Ott, downed by WAS-37-I.Yiadom.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 PHI 4th & 1 at the 37Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 66%
(6:56) (Shotgun) 28-W.Shipley right guard to JAX 37 for no gain (52-D.Hamilton). (Virtual Measurement). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 PHI 4th & 10 at the 51Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 30%
(4:26) 10-B.Mann punts 42 yards to JAX 9, Center-41-R.Underwood, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 JAX 4th & 2 at the 70Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.52 EPp(convert) 63%
(1:25) 9-L.Cooke punts 48 yards to PHI 22, Center-52-D.Hamilton. 85-B.Covey pushed ob at PHI 36 for 14 yards (19-J.Cameron).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 JAX 4th & 1 at the 19Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 93%
(1:06) 33-B.Tuten left end to PHI 17 for 2 yards (35-M.Carter).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 JAX 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 99%
(:01) 33-B.Tuten left end to PHI 7 for -6 yards (53-Z.Baun). PHI-58-J.Hunt was injured during the play.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PHI 4th & 3 at the 63Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.50 EPp(convert) 53%
(13:38) 10-B.Mann punts 48 yards to JAX 15, Center-41-R.Underwood, fair catch by 11-P.Washington.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 JAX 4th & 12 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 95%
(7:15) 39-C.Little 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-52-D.Hamilton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PHI 4th & 3 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51% p(FG) 50%
(3:51) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short right to 9-M.Lemon (12-T.Hunter).
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 PHI 4th & 13 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(:56) 10-B.Mann punts 59 yards to end zone, Center-41-R.Underwood, Touchback.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 JAX 4th & 7 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(14:07) 9-L.Cooke punts 43 yards to PHI 22, Center-52-D.Hamilton. 85-B.Covey to PHI 38 for 16 yards (6-A.Johnson). PENALTY on PHI-34-C.Steele, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at PHI 22.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 PHI 4th & 10 at the 88Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(12:19) 10-B.Mann punts 51 yards to JAX 37, Center-41-R.Underwood. 11-P.Washington ran ob at JAX 37 for no gain.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 JAX 4th & 5 at the 5Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 98%
(6:40) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Meyers [17-A.Ebiketie].
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 PHI 4th & 9 at the 93Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(5:40) 10-B.Mann punts 46 yards to JAX 47, Center-41-R.Underwood. 11-P.Washington ran ob at JAX 49 for 2 yards (17-A.Ebiketie).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 JAX 4th & 5 at the 27 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 85%
(3:26) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 11-P.Washington for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 PHI 4th & 16 at the 71 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(2:14) 10-B.Mann punts 57 yards to JAX 14, Center-41-R.Underwood. 11-P.Washington ran ob at JAX 23 for 9 yards (17-A.Ebiketie).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 JAX 4th & 2 at the 69 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.52 EPp(convert) 63%
(1:46) 9-L.Cooke punts 41 yards to PHI 28, Center-52-D.Hamilton. 85-B.Covey to PHI 38 for 10 yards (35-J.Mcleod).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 PHI 4th & 6 at the 30 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 80%
(:12) 4-J.Elliott 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Underwood, Holder-10-B.Mann.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q1 SF 4th & 1 at the 62Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.40 EPp(convert) 71%
(14:04) 15-C.Waitman punts 51 yards to SEA 11, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 SEA 4th & 2 at the 74Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.49 EPp(convert) 64%
(9:34) 4-M.Dickson punts 39 yards to SF 35, Center-41-C.Stoll. 4-J.Cowing MUFFS catch, touched at SF 33, RECOVERED by SEA-81-E.Saubert at SF 24.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 SF 4th & 6 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(4:47) 15-C.Waitman punts 47 yards to SEA 18, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 SEA 4th & 15 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(3:24) 4-M.Dickson punts 42 yards to SF 45, Center-41-C.Stoll, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q1 SF 4th & 5 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 34%
(:46) 15-C.Waitman punts 42 yards to SEA 8, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 SEA 4th & 10 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 80%
(13:31) 5-J.Myers 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 SF 4th & 16 at the 44Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 50%
(8:37) 15-C.Waitman punts 35 yards to SEA 9, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 SF 4th & 14 at the 42Chose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.71 EPp(convert) 27% p(FG) 55%
(:27) 15-C.Waitman punts 38 yards to SEA 4, impetus ends at SEA 1, Center-46-J.Weeks, downed by SF-24-A.Davis.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 SF 4th & 5 at the 34Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 74%
(13:15) 18-E.Pineiro 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 SEA 4th & 3 at the 25Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.67 EPp(convert) 52% p(FG) 88%
(9:00) 5-J.Myers 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 SEA 4th & 4 at the 30Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.39 EPp(convert) 47% p(FG) 81%
(3:06) 5-J.Myers 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 SEA 4th & 10 at the 22Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 91%
(6:59) 5-J.Myers 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 SF 4th & 2 at the 25 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 56% p(FG) 88%
(2:00) 18-E.Pineiro 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 SEA 4th & 10 at the 50 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 34%
(:54) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 10-C.Kupp pushed ob at SF 41 for 9 yards (6-M.Mustapha). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
See the full breakdown →
-
Q2 DAL 4th & 10 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(12:36) 5-B.Anger punts 53 yards to TB 3, Center-44-T.Sieg, out of bounds.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TB 4th & 5 at the 92Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.55 EPp(convert) 52%
(11:09) 9-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to TB 49, Center-86-E.Deckers, downed by TB-19-K.Johnson. PENALTY on DAL-50-S.James, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 49.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DAL 4th & 10 at the 47Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 45%
(9:20) 5-B.Anger punts 37 yards to TB 10, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 15-T.Johnson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TB 4th & 10 at the 48Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 43%
(3:47) 9-R.Dixon punts 35 yards to DAL 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DAL 4th & 10 at the 82Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(3:15) 5-B.Anger punts 46 yards to TB 36, Center-44-T.Sieg. 15-T.Johnson to TB 48 for 12 yards (86-L.Schoonmaker).
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 TB 4th & 9 at the 51Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 35%
(2:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to DAL 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.
See the full breakdown → -
Q2 DAL 4th & 6 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 91%
(:26) 17-B.Aubrey 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 TB 4th & 17 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 91%
(3:02) 4-C.McLaughlin 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
See the full breakdown → -
Q3 DAL 4th & 3 at the 57Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57%
(1:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 87-J.Ferguson.
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TB 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 99%
(8:36) 44-S.Tucker up the middle to DAL 1 for no gain (55-J.Barham).
See the full breakdown → -
Q4 TB 4th & 8 at the 63 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(3:53) 9-R.Dixon punts 49 yards to DAL 14, Center-86-E.Deckers. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 24 for 10 yards (52-C.Rozeboom).
See the full breakdown →
