Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 6 at the 65

San Francisco 49ers 7 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(4:47) 15-C.Waitman punts 47 yards to SEA 18, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.

The Three Options

GO -1.49 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.75 EP
58% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 65, worth -3.85 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model