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SF Away

San Francisco 49ers

HC Kyle Shanahan
@
SEA Home

Seattle Seahawks

HC Mike Macdonald
Sunday 2026-10-11 · 16:25 Lumen Field, Seattle US ❓ Unknown Spread 3.5 O/U 48.5

Win Probability

SF
33.1%
SEA
66.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • SEA offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • Brock Purdy (SF): +0.177 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

SF 22
SEA 26
Projected margin: SEA by 4 Projected total: 48

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 5

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.