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Sunday 2026-10-11 · 20:20
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US
🏟 Dome
Spread -4.5
O/U 48.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- BAL offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
BAL
22
–
ATL
24
Projected margin: ATL by 2
Projected total: 46
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 5
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.