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Sunday 2026-10-11 · 13:00
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh US
❓ Unknown
Spread 2.5
O/U 47.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- QB edge to IND: Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.038 vs Daniel Jones (IND) +0.164 EPA/dropback
- IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
- PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- IND defense: +0.067 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- PIT on 3 more days rest than IND
Predicted Final Score
IND
22
–
PIT
24
Projected margin: PIT by 2
Projected total: 46
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 5
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.