Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 82

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7

(3:15) 5-B.Anger punts 46 yards to TB 36, Center-44-T.Sieg. 15-T.Johnson to TB 48 for 12 yards (86-L.Schoonmaker).

The Three Options

GO -2.32 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +1.23 EP
60% chance to fail: Tampa Bay Buccaneers takes over around their own 82, worth -4.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model