4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
PHI Away

Philadelphia Eagles

HC Nick Sirianni
@
JAX Home

Jacksonville Jaguars

HC Liam Coen
Sunday 2026-10-11 · 09:30 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Jacksonville US ❓ Unknown Spread -1.5 O/U 45.5

Win Probability

PHI
29.9%
JAX
70.1%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • PHI defense: -0.076 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (9th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

PHI 21
JAX 26
Projected margin: JAX by 5 Projected total: 47

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 5

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.