4TH&DATA
EN ES
Back to Game

Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 14 at the 67

Cleveland Browns 6 – New York Jets 7

What Actually Happened

(6:24) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 36 yards to NYJ 31, Center-50-R.Sunahara, downed by CLE-31-D.McMillon.

The Three Options

GO -2.05 EP
  • 29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.43 EP
  • 71% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 67, worth -3.88 EP
KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

PUNT -1.31 EP
What Happened Model's Pick
  • New York Jets would take over around their own 25, worth -1.31 EP

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model