Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cleveland Browns 4th & 7 at the 62

Cleveland Browns 3 – New York Jets 7

(1:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to NYJ 9, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 18-I.Williams.

The Three Options

GO -1.38 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.05 EP
61% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 62, worth -3.56 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model