Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 56

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7

(12:36) 5-B.Anger punts 53 yards to TB 3, Center-44-T.Sieg, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.74 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +2.96 EP
63% chance to fail: Tampa Bay Buccaneers takes over around their own 56, worth -2.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model