Fourth-Down Analyzer
Every 4th-down decision from every game this week, priced in expected points by the same submodels shown on each game's own page, just gathered here one week at a time instead of one game at a time. The objective: see which calls matched what the numbers say and which ones cost the most, across the whole week at a glance.
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Q1 HOU 4th & 11 at the 12Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 97%
(12:03) 15-K.Fairbairn 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q1 ARI 4th & 17 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(10:30) 39-M.Haack punts 34 yards to ARI 49, Center-46-A.Brewer, out of bounds.
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Q2 HOU 4th & 8 at the 37Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 69%
(9:05) 15-K.Fairbairn 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 3 at the 64Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.53 EPp(convert) 53%
(7:37) 39-M.Haack punts 56 yards to HOU 8, Center-46-A.Brewer. 14-J.Noel ran ob at HOU 21 for 13 yards (25-Z.Collins).
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Q2 HOU 4th & 3 at the 3Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.90 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 99%
(1:46) 15-K.Fairbairn 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 2 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57% p(FG) 57%
(:40) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett sacked at HOU 48 for -6 yards (96-D.Autry).
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Q2 HOU 4th & 3 at the 34Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52% p(FG) 75%
(:02) 15-K.Fairbairn 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-C.Campbell), Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q3 ARI 4th & 1 at the 66Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71%
(13:20) 66-D.Jacobs reported in as eligible. 7-J.Brissett up the middle to ARI 37 for 3 yards (97-M.Edwards).
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Q4 HOU 4th & 12 at the 15Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 96%
(13:38) 15-K.Fairbairn 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q4 HOU 4th & 4 at the 47Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.65 EPp(convert) 49% p(FG) 44%
(8:54) 6-T.Townsend punts 43 yards to ARI 4, Center-40-A.Brinkman, downed by HOU-19-X.Hutchinson.
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Q4 ARI 4th & 4 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52%
(7:43) 39-M.Haack punts 45 yards to HOU 45, Center-46-A.Brewer, downed by ARI-36-K.Crawford.
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Q4 ARI 4th & 18 at the 49 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.46 EPp(convert) 24% p(FG) 39%
(1:22) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 85-T.McBride to HOU 45 for 4 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).
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Q1 TB 4th & 10 at the 44Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 48%
(12:43) 9-R.Dixon punts 38 yards to ATL 6, Center-86-E.Deckers, downed by TB-19-K.Johnson.
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Q1 ATL 4th & 8 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(6:29) 13-B.Pinion punts 38 yards to TB 17, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.
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Q2 TB 4th & 8 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(9:44) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to ATL 19, Center-86-E.Deckers. 83-D.Thompkins to ATL 29 for 10 yards (48-J.Gray; 32-J.Hayes).
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Q2 ATL 4th & 4 at the 53Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.59 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 26%
(6:37) 13-B.Pinion punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-49-L.McCullough, Touchback.
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Q2 TB 4th & 8 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 78%
(2:08) 4-C.McLaughlin 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
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Q3 ATL 4th & 8 at the 47Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 40%
(11:43) 13-B.Pinion punts 47 yards to end zone, Center-49-L.McCullough, Touchback. PENALTY on TB-32-J.Hayes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 20.
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Q3 ATL 4th & 20 at the 41Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 56%
(4:34) 13-B.Pinion punts 32 yards to TB 9, Center-49-L.McCullough. 19-K.Johnson MUFFS catch, and recovers at TB 10.
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Q3 TB 4th & 12 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 32%
(1:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 37 yards to ATL 13, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 83-D.Thompkins.
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Q4 TB 4th & 14 at the 65 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(2:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to ATL 20, Center-86-E.Deckers. 83-D.Thompkins ran ob at ATL 30 for 10 yards (58-M.Watts).
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Q4 ATL 4th & 14 at the 57 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass deep right to 87-D.Sills to TB 36 for 21 yards (31-A.Winfield).
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Q1 BAL 4th & 9 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 24%
(11:24) 11-J.Stout punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-46-N.Moore, Touchback.
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Q1 CIN 4th & 19 at the 40Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 57%
(3:02) 8-R.Rehkow punts 25 yards to BAL 15, Center-46-W.Wagner, fair catch by 83-L.Wester.
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Q1 BAL 4th & 14 at the 89Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(:51) 11-J.Stout punts 44 yards to CIN 45, Center-46-N.Moore. 15-C.Jones to CIN 43 for -2 yards (24-M.Starks). BAL-40-T.Buchanan was injured during the play.
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Q2 CIN 4th & 2 at the 65Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.00 EPp(convert) 62%
(7:47) 8-R.Rehkow punts 44 yards to BAL 21, Center-46-W.Wagner, downed by CIN-46-W.Wagner.
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Q2 CIN 4th & 19 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(1:13) 8-R.Rehkow punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-46-W.Wagner, Touchback.
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Q3 CIN 4th & 4 at the 32Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46% p(FG) 76%
(11:55) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki [41-D.Jones]. BAL-3-C.Awuzie was injured during the play.
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Q3 BAL 4th & 3 at the 8Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.38 EPp(convert) 49% p(FG) 98%
(9:08) 33-T.Loop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
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Q3 CIN 4th & 6 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(4:50) 8-R.Rehkow punts 51 yards to BAL 8, Center-46-W.Wagner, downed by CIN-46-W.Wagner.
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Q4 CIN 4th & 1 at the 78Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 74%
(13:57) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 30-C.Brown to CIN 24 for 2 yards (32-T.Simpson).
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Q4 CIN 4th & 6 at the 72Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(12:10) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at BAL 45 for 27 yards (12-A.Gilman).
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Q4 CIN 4th & 3 at the 48 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54% p(FG) 36%
(4:08) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at BAL 36 for 12 yards (2-N.Wiggins).
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Q4 CIN 4th & 1 at the 27 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 84%
(2:08) (Shotgun) 34-S.Perine up the middle to BAL 27 for no gain (0-R.Smith; 98-T.Jones).
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Q1 BUF 4th & 5 at the 44Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.48 EPp(convert) 44% p(FG) 47%
(9:17) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 32 yards to NE 12, Center-69-R.Ferguson, out of bounds.
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Q1 NE 4th & 1 at the 67Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.97 EPp(convert) 74%
(6:27) 17-B.Baringer punts 50 yards to BUF 17, Center-47-J.Ashby, downed by NE-22-C.Woods.
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Q1 BUF 4th & 15 at the 88Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(3:54) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 45 yards to NE 43, Center-69-R.Ferguson. 25-M.Jones MUFFS catch, and recovers at NE 47. 25-M.Jones to 50 for 3 yards (56-J.Solomon).
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Q2 BUF 4th & 8 at the 41Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.44 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 55%
(10:39) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 35 yards to NE 6, Center-69-R.Ferguson, downed by BUF-14-T.Shavers.
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Q3 NE 4th & 16 at the 80Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(9:29) 17-B.Baringer punts 62 yards to BUF 18, Center-47-J.Ashby. 10-K.Shakir ran ob at BUF 30 for 12 yards (15-M.Mapu).
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Q4 BUF 4th & 3 at the 45Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 53% p(FG) 44%
(11:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 10-K.Shakir to NE 8 for 37 yards (25-M.Jones). Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
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Q4 NE 4th & 17 at the 80Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(5:19) 17-B.Baringer punts 51 yards to BUF 29, Center-47-J.Ashby, out of bounds.
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Q4 BUF 4th & 4 at the 65 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(2:54) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 50 yards to NE 15, Center-69-R.Ferguson. 25-M.Jones to NE 17 for 2 yards (39-C.Lewis).
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Q4 NE 4th & 5 at the 78 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(1:54) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 8-S.Diggs (97-J.Bosa).
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Q1 NO 4th & 6 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(14:08) 32-K.Kroeger punts 58 yards to CAR 10, Center-49-Z.Wood. 23-T.Etienne to CAR 26 for 16 yards (28-D.Stutsman).
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Q1 NO 4th & 9 at the 49Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 39%
(2:52) 32-K.Kroeger punts 37 yards to CAR 12, Center-49-Z.Wood, fair catch by 23-T.Etienne.
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Q2 CAR 4th & 13 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(15:00) 6-S.Martin punts 56 yards to NO 5, Center-44-J.Jansen, out of bounds.
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Q2 NO 4th & 1 at the 6Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 64% p(FG) 98%
(4:15) 6-T.Shough up the middle to CAR 4 for 2 yards (97-B.Brown).
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Q2 CAR 4th & 3 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50% p(FG) 57%
(1:18) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 4-T.McMillan to NO 21 for 21 yards (1-A.Taylor; 4-K.McKinstry).
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Q2 CAR 4th & 11 at the 22Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 91%
(:25) 10-R.Fitzgerald 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin.
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Q3 NO 4th & 20 at the 24Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 20% p(FG) 89%
(2:00) 39-C.Smyth 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
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Q4 CAR 4th & 1 at the 58Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70%
(14:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to CAR 45 for 3 yards (99-C.Young).
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Q4 CAR 4th & 1 at the 35Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 73%
(11:00) 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to NO 35 for no gain (98-J.Bullard).
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Q4 NO 4th & 1 at the 23Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 90%
(6:59) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough sacked at CAR 23 for 0 yards (56-C.Rozeboom). Penalty on NO-77-D.Radunz, Offensive Holding, declined.
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Q4 CAR 4th & 1 at the 68 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.76 EPp(convert) 71%
(4:45) 6-S.Martin punts 46 yards to NO 22, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis.
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Q4 CAR 4th & 7 at the 57 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(1:04) 6-S.Martin punts 40 yards to NO 17, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis. PENALTY on NO-31-J.Howden, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at NO 17.
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Q1 CHI 4th & 9 at the 46Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 42%
(14:02) 19-T.Taylor punts 45 yards to CLE 1, Center-46-S.Daly, downed by CHI-33-J.Jones. ** Injury Update: CHI-33-J.Jones has returned to the game. Cleveland challenged the kick downed ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
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Q1 CLE 4th & 4 at the 93Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(11:29) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to CHI 40, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 12-D.Duvernay to CLE 42 for 18 yards (50-R.Sunahara).
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Q1 CLE 4th & 1 at the 61Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.83 EPp(convert) 69%
(6:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Touchback.
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Q2 CLE 4th & 9 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(14:16) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to CHI 23, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 12-D.Duvernay.
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Q2 CHI 4th & 17 at the 17Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 23% p(FG) 94%
(4:45) 8-C.Santos 35 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
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Q2 CLE 4th & 17 at the 40Chose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.39 EPp(convert) 23% p(FG) 57%
(2:00) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 30 yards to CHI 10, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 12-D.Duvernay.
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Q2 CHI 4th & 1 at the 81Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.93 EPp(convert) 74%
(1:21) 19-T.Taylor punts 43 yards to CLE 38, Center-46-S.Daly, downed by CHI-39-J.Blackwell.
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Q2 CLE 4th & 15 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27%
(:52) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 41 yards to CHI 26, Center-50-R.Sunahara, downed by CLE-50-R.Sunahara.
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Q2 CHI 4th & 3 at the 42Chose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.44 EPp(convert) 52% p(FG) 52%
(:03) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 10-L.Burden to CLE 30 for 12 yards [49-C.Schwesinger]. Lateral to 2-D.Moore to CLE 26 for 4 yards. Lateral to 25-K.Monangai to CLE 26 for no gain (7-T.Campbell; 26-M.Harden). CHI-18-C.Williams was injured during the play.
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Q3 CLE 4th & 10 at the 80Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(14:13) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 49 yards to CHI 31, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 12-D.Duvernay to CHI 47 for 16 yards (42-E.Mascarenas-Arnold).
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Q3 CHI 4th & 3 at the 46Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52% p(FG) 42%
(12:20) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams sacked at CHI 48 for -6 yards (91-A.Wright).
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Q3 CLE 4th & 10 at the 32Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 76%
(10:08) 25-A.Szmyt 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
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Q3 CHI 4th & 7 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(9:02) 19-T.Taylor punts 41 yards to CLE 17, Center-46-S.Daly. 84-G.Larvadain to CLE 17 for no gain (39-J.Blackwell).
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Q4 CLE 4th & 19 at the 89Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(15:00) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 52 yards to CHI 37, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 12-D.Duvernay to CHI 48 for 11 yards (28-T.Avery; 9-G.Delpit).
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Q4 CHI 4th & 11 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 89%
(7:35) 8-C.Santos 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
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Q4 CLE 4th & 8 at the 8 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.74 EPp(convert) 29% p(FG) 98%
(:19) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders sacked at CHI 13 for -5 yards (94-A.Booker).
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Q1 DET 4th & 4 at the 25Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EPp(convert) 45% p(FG) 88%
(11:16) 39-J.Bates 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q1 LA 4th & 4 at the 45Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52% p(FG) 50%
(5:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 12-P.Nacua to DET 39 for 6 yards (34-A.Anzalone).
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Q1 LA 4th & 8 at the 37Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 69%
(4:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 12-P.Nacua to DET 27 for 10 yards (21-A.Robertson).
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Q2 DET 4th & 6 at the 6Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.49 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 98%
(12:07) 39-J.Bates 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q2 LA 4th & 5 at the 55Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.45 EPp(convert) 50%
(3:21) 42-E.Evans punts 50 yards to DET 5, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 11-K.Raymond to DET 20 for 15 yards (22-B.Corum).
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Q2 DET 4th & 1 at the 71Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73%
(2:00) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown ran ob at DET 43 for 14 yards (1-E.Forbes).
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Q3 LA 4th & 1 at the 25Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 88%
(11:14) 22-B.Corum up the middle to DET 24 for 1 yard (36-E.Hallett).
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Q3 LA 4th & 12 at the 26Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 87%
(9:11) 92-H.Mevis 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
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Q3 DET 4th & 5 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(6:48) 3-J.Fox punts 48 yards to LA 12, Center-49-H.Hatten. 19-X.Smith to LA 12 for no gain.
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Q4 DET 4th & 7 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(14:08) 3-J.Fox punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-49-H.Hatten, Touchback.
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Q4 LA 4th & 3 at the 73Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 61%
(12:36) 42-E.Evans punts 47 yards to DET 26, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 85-T.Kennedy to DET 34 for 8 yards (20-R.Rivers).
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Q4 DET 4th & 1 at the 37Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 69%
(10:34) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 16-J.Goff pass short left to 14-A.St. Brown to LA 26 for 11 yards (14-C.Durant).
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Q4 DET 4th & 14 at the 30Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 82%
(7:58) 39-J.Bates 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q4 LA 4th & 9 at the 52 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.37 EPp(convert) 40% p(FG) 32%
(:23) 42-E.Evans punts 52 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Touchback.
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Q1 GB 4th & 1 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71% p(FG) 52%
(9:41) 70-D.Kinnard reported in as eligible. 10-J.Love scrambles left end to DEN 42 for 1 yard (9-T.Hufanga).
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Q1 GB 4th & 3 at the 35Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.72 EPp(convert) 53% p(FG) 72%
(7:06) 17-B.McManus 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
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Q1 DEN 4th & 4 at the 54Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.49 EPp(convert) 49%
(5:07) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 48 yards to GB 6, impetus ends at GB 11, Center-48-M.Fraboni, downed by DEN-31-K.Abrams-Draine. DEN-40-J.Strnad was injured during the play. PENALTY on GB-55-K.Enagbare, Unnecessary Roughness, 3 yards, enforced at GB 6.
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Q2 GB 4th & 6 at the 8Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.91 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 98%
(14:14) 17-B.McManus 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
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Q3 DEN 4th & 9 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(13:03) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 51 yards to GB 19, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 87-R.Doubs.
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Q3 GB 4th & 20 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(5:00) 19-D.Whelan punts 57 yards to end zone, Center-42-M.Orzech, Touchback. PENALTY on GB-58-I.McDuffie, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 20.
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Q3 DEN 4th & 1 at the 61Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72%
(3:17) 73-F.Crum reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix up the middle to DEN 41 for 2 yards (52-R.Gary).
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Q4 GB 4th & 11 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 93%
(10:58) 17-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
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Q4 DEN 4th & 2 at the 41Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 57%
(9:03) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton ran ob at GB 15 for 26 yards. Green Bay challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.)
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Q4 DEN 4th & 3 at the 45Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52% p(FG) 47%
(5:04) 10-B.Nix pass incomplete deep left to 19-M.Mims (56-E.Cooper).
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Q4 GB 4th & 9 at the 43 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 52%
(2:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love sacked at GB 46 for -11 yards (sack split by 0-J.Cooper and 99-Z.Allen).
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Q4 DEN 4th & 1 at the 37 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.71 EPp(convert) 69% p(FG) 67%
(1:12) 46-A.Prentice up the middle to GB 38 for -1 yards (56-E.Cooper).
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Q4 GB 4th & 15 at the 67 late-gameChose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.41 EPp(convert) 31%
(:50) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 0-M.Golden [15-N.Bonitto].
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Q1 IND 4th & 10 at the 45Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 42%
(11:09) 8-R.Sanchez punts 35 yards to SEA 10, Center-46-L.Rhodes, downed by IND-40-J.Jones.
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Q1 SEA 4th & 3 at the 83Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.37 EPp(convert) 59%
(9:05) 4-M.Dickson punts 48 yards to IND 35, Center-41-C.Stoll, out of bounds.
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Q1 IND 4th & 5 at the 24Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 88%
(3:44) 10-B.Grupe 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q1 SEA 4th & 5 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 82%
(:54) 5-J.Myers 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q2 IND 4th & 5 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(14:57) 8-R.Sanchez punts 51 yards to SEA 9, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 22-R.Shaheed to SEA 15 for 6 yards (31-T.Goodson).
-
Q2 SEA 4th & 15 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(12:58) 4-M.Dickson punts 43 yards to IND 47, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 9-C.Owen.
-
Q2 IND 4th & 5 at the 36Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.50 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 66%
(8:31) 10-B.Grupe 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
-
Q2 SEA 4th & 20 at the 92Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(5:56) 4-M.Dickson punts 50 yards to IND 42, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 9-C.Owen.
-
Q2 SEA 4th & 4 at the 34Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48% p(FG) 70%
(:05) 5-J.Myers 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q3 SEA 4th & 4 at the 38Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48% p(FG) 60%
(11:20) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 88-A.Barner to IND 31 for 7 yards (35-J.Edwards).
-
Q3 SEA 4th & 7 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 82%
(9:53) 5-J.Myers 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q3 IND 4th & 9 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(8:12) 8-R.Sanchez punts 47 yards to SEA 7, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
-
Q3 SEA 4th & 4 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 53%
(5:55) 4-M.Dickson punts 52 yards to IND 22, Center-41-C.Stoll. 9-C.Owen to IND 24 for 2 yards (39-T.Okada).
-
Q3 IND 4th & 5 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(2:43) 8-R.Sanchez punts 59 yards to end zone, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Touchback.
-
Q4 SEA 4th & 7 at the 14Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 95%
(13:28) 5-J.Myers 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q4 IND 4th & 8 at the 42Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.45 EPp(convert) 35% p(FG) 50%
(8:16) 8-R.Sanchez punts 36 yards to SEA 6, Center-46-L.Rhodes, downed by IND-31-T.Goodson.
-
Q4 SEA 4th & 7 at the 12 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 96%
(2:30) 5-J.Myers 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q4 IND 4th & 3 at the 42 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51% p(FG) 50%
(:52) 10-B.Grupe 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
-
Q4 SEA 4th & 2 at the 38 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 60% p(FG) 60%
(:22) 5-J.Myers 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q1 LAC 4th & 1 at the 30Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.55 EPp(convert) 68% p(FG) 80%
(2:35) 11-C.Dicker 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q1 KC 4th & 8 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(1:04) 14-M.Araiza punts 57 yards to LAC 9, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-21-J.Hicks.
-
Q2 LAC 4th & 6 at the 75Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(13:40) 16-J.Scott punts 39 yards to KC 36, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio.
-
Q2 KC 4th & 9 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(12:07) 14-M.Araiza punts 42 yards to LAC 21, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-59-C.McDonald.
-
Q2 KC 4th & 9 at the 9Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 97%
(8:07) 7-H.Butker 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
-
Q2 LAC 4th & 14 at the 47Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 39%
(2:57) 16-J.Scott punts 35 yards to KC 12, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio. PENALTY on KC-2-J.Williams, Offensive Holding, 6 yards, enforced at KC 12.
-
Q2 KC 4th & 4 at the 29Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 82%
(:42) 7-H.Butker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 5 at the 5Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.67 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 98%
(8:58) 11-C.Dicker 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. ** Injury Update: KC-38-K.Knowles has returned to the game.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 16 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27%
(5:03) 16-J.Scott punts 48 yards to KC 12, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio.
-
Q3 KC 4th & 3 at the 81Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.53 EPp(convert) 58%
(3:38) 14-M.Araiza punts 41 yards to LAC 40, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 15-L.McConkey.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 7 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 78%
(:57) 11-C.Dicker 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q4 LAC 4th & 7 at the 44Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.31 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 47%
(5:29) 16-J.Scott punts 28 yards to KC 16, Center-47-J.Harris. 81-N.Remigio to KC 18 for 2 yards (40-K.Williamson; 47-J.Harris). PENALTY on KC-20-N.Williams, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at KC 16.
-
Q1 LV 4th & 6 at the 33Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 66%
(1:19) (Shotgun) 15-K.Pickett pass incomplete short right to 17-T.Lockett (50-J.Phillips).
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 8 at the 8Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 97%
(12:53) 4-J.Elliott 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-10-B.Mann.
-
Q2 LV 4th & 7 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(11:59) 6-A.Cole punts 41 yards to PHI 25, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 6 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(10:23) 10-B.Mann punts 43 yards to LV 28, Center-47-C.Hughlett, downed by PHI-28-W.Shipley.
-
Q2 LV 4th & 12 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(8:16) 6-A.Cole punts 52 yards to PHI 22, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 18-B.Covey to PHI 30 for 8 yards (55-C.Lindenberg; 51-M.Koonce).
-
Q2 LV 4th & 8 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(:36) 6-A.Cole punts 44 yards to PHI 10, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 18-B.Covey to PHI 21 for 11 yards (29-C.Anusiem; 44-T.Eichenberg).
-
Q3 LV 4th & 20 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 23%
(2:50) 6-A.Cole punts 38 yards to PHI 40, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.
-
Q4 LV 4th & 16 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(13:27) 6-A.Cole punts 48 yards to PHI 26, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 18-B.Covey to PHI 31 for 5 yards (59-J.Rhattigan; 87-M.Mayer). PENALTY on PHI-21-S.Brown, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at PHI 29.
-
Q4 PHI 4th & 1 at the 1 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 65% p(FG) 99%
(2:00) 37-T.Bigsby left guard to LV 2 for -1 yards (44-T.Eichenberg).
-
Q1 MIA 4th & 7 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 31%
(12:46) 16-J.Bailey punts 50 yards to end zone, Center-49-J.Cardona, Touchback.
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 1 at the 71Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.01 EPp(convert) 72%
(10:26) 3-C.Waitman punts 49 yards to MIA 22, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 6-M.Washington to MIA 29 for 7 yards (15-B.Skowronek; 33-J.Sawyer).
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 1 at the 72Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72%
(5:56) Direct snap to 83-Co.Heyward. 83-Co.Heyward up the middle to PIT 30 for 2 yards (25-T.Dodson).
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 3 at the 41Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51% p(FG) 54%
(2:19) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 14-K.Gainwell pushed ob at MIA 32 for 9 yards (23-J.Jones).
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 20 at the 42Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 51%
(15:00) 3-C.Waitman punts 42 yards to end zone, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Touchback.
-
Q2 MIA 4th & 5 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(11:12) 16-J.Bailey punts 36 yards to PIT 29, Center-49-J.Cardona. 19-C.Austin to PIT 29 for no gain (46-I.Johnson).
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 10 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(8:44) 3-C.Waitman punts 40 yards to MIA 31, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-22-A.Samuel.
-
Q2 MIA 4th & 5 at the 36Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.44 EPp(convert) 43% p(FG) 67%
(5:17) 47-R.Patterson 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 1 at the 15Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 65% p(FG) 95%
(1:46) Direct snap to 83-Co.Heyward. 83-Co.Heyward up the middle to MIA 14 for 1 yard (25-T.Dodson; 21-A.Davis).
-
Q3 MIA 4th & 18 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27%
(9:16) 16-J.Bailey punts 53 yards to PIT 15, Center-49-J.Cardona. 19-C.Austin to PIT 23 for 8 yards (49-J.Cardona). ** Injury Update: MIA-31-O.Gordon has returned to the game.
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 1 at the 55Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.88 EPp(convert) 70%
(7:36) 3-C.Waitman punts 48 yards to MIA 7, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 6-M.Washington to MIA 14 for 7 yards (15-B.Skowronek; 44-C.Bruener).
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 13 at the 53 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 24%
(2:14) 3-C.Waitman punts 50 yards to MIA 3, impetus ends at MIA 1, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-26-B.Echols.
-
Q4 MIA 4th & 2 at the 89 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 65%
(1:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 28-D.Achane to MIA 17 for 6 yards (29-K.Dugger).
-
Q1 DAL 4th & 4 at the 29Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 84%
(12:41) (Field Goal formation) 17-B.Aubrey right end to MIN 23 for 6 yards (0-I.Pace).
-
Q1 DAL 4th & 1 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 99%
(8:43) 33-J.Williams up the middle to MIN 1 for 1 yard (51-B.Cashman; 44-J.Metellus).
-
Q1 MIN 4th & 2 at the 68Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.55 EPp(convert) 61%
(4:43) 17-R.Wright punts 65 yards to DAL 3, Center-42-A.DePaola, downed by MIN-13-T.Felton.
-
Q1 DAL 4th & 2 at the 89Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.09 EPp(convert) 66%
(3:16) 5-B.Anger punts 42 yards to MIN 47, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
-
Q2 MIN 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 63% p(FG) 99%
(9:34) 64-B.Brandel reported in as eligible. 9-J.McCarthy left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
-
Q2 DAL 4th & 3 at the 50Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 55% p(FG) 37%
(8:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to MIN 33 for 17 yards (55-E.Wilson).
-
Q2 DAL 4th & 10 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 77%
(5:56) 17-B.Aubrey 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
-
Q2 MIN 4th & 10 at the 11Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 97%
(1:52) 16-W.Reichard 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
-
Q2 DAL 4th & 7 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 93%
(:08) 17-B.Aubrey 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
-
Q3 DAL 4th & 7 at the 8Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.74 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 98%
(11:17) 17-B.Aubrey 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
-
Q3 MIN 4th & 9 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(10:17) 17-R.Wright punts 47 yards to DAL 10, Center-42-A.DePaola, out of bounds.
-
Q3 DAL 4th & 8 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 90%
(4:54) 17-B.Aubrey 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
-
Q3 MIN 4th & 3 at the 37Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50% p(FG) 69%
(2:49) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass deep right to 1-J.Nailor to DAL 14 for 23 yards (34-S.Revel).
-
Q4 DAL 4th & 8 at the 41Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 60%
(12:24) 17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
-
Q4 DAL 4th & 7 at the 45Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 50%
(5:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 43-M.Davis to MIN 39 for 6 yards (55-E.Wilson). MIN-58-J.Greenard was injured during the play.
-
Q4 MIN 4th & 1 at the 52 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 32%
(3:21) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to DAL 48 for 4 yards (42-J.Clowney; 95-K.Clark).
-
Q4 MIN 4th & 15 at the 35 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 73%
(1:13) 16-W.Reichard 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
-
Q1 NYJ 4th & 1 at the 56Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68%
(8:49) 20-B.Hall right end to NYJ 38 for -6 yards (44-T.Walker).
-
Q2 NYJ 4th & 9 at the 42Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 48%
(10:50) 14-A.McNamara punts 32 yards to JAX 10, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-32-I.Davis.
-
Q2 JAX 4th & 18 at the 98Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(9:55) 9-L.Cooke punts 47 yards to JAX 49, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 18-I.Williams for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NYJ-32-I.Davis, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 49.
-
Q2 NYJ 4th & 10 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 88%
(5:07) 6-N.Folk 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
-
Q2 JAX 4th & 10 at the 15Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 95%
(1:37) 39-C.Little 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
-
Q3 NYJ 4th & 12 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 71%
(10:52) 6-N.Folk 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
-
Q3 NYJ 4th & 3 at the 58Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(4:45) (Shotgun) 4-B.Cook pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Metchie.
-
Q3 JAX 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.95 EPp(convert) 43% p(FG) 98%
(1:46) 39-C.Little 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
-
Q4 NYJ 4th & 9 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(10:43) 14-A.McNamara punts 25 yards to JAX 29, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-42-T.Hennessy.
-
Q4 JAX 4th & 1 at the 71Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.91 EPp(convert) 73%
(5:14) 9-L.Cooke punts 57 yards to NYJ 14, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 18-I.Williams to NYJ 23 for 9 yards (50-B.Combs; 25-R.Lane).
-
Q4 NYJ 4th & 7 at the 52 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 23%
(2:03) (Shotgun) 4-B.Cook pass short right to 3-J.Metchie ran ob at JAX 42 for 10 yards.
-
Q1 TEN 4th & 6 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(13:59) 3-J.Hekker punts 36 yards to SF 30, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.
-
Q1 TEN 4th & 7 at the 7Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.31 EPp(convert) 31% p(FG) 98%
(1:26) 6-J.Slye 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.
-
Q2 SF 4th & 11 at the 15Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 95%
(1:00) 18-E.Pineiro 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.
-
Q3 TEN 4th & 6 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(11:37) 3-J.Hekker punts 56 yards to SF 5, Center-46-M.Cox, downed by TEN-12-M.Kinsey.
-
Q3 SF 4th & 1 at the 33Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71% p(FG) 75%
(6:17) 13-B.Purdy up the middle to TEN 31 for 2 yards (93-T.Sweat; 98-J.Simmons).
-
Q3 TEN 4th & 15 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27%
(:23) 3-J.Hekker punts 44 yards to SF 26, Center-46-M.Cox. 9-S.Moore to SF 44 for 18 yards (48-J.Bachie; 3-J.Hekker).
-
Q4 SF 4th & 11 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 93%
(9:32) 18-E.Pineiro 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.
-
Q4 TEN 4th & 1 at the 8Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 63% p(FG) 98%
(6:12) 1-C.Ward up the middle to SF 6 for 2 yards (99-C.West).
-
Q4 SF 4th & 1 at the 22 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 91%
(1:14) 18-E.Pineiro 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead.
-
Q4 TEN 4th & 4 at the 59 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short right to 84-G.Helm to 50 for 9 yards (6-M.Mustapha).
-
Q1 WAS 4th & 9 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 81%
(9:26) 16-J.Moody 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
-
Q1 NYG 4th & 6 at the 33Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.49 EPp(convert) 44% p(FG) 70%
(7:04) 37-Y.Koo 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-15-C.Johnston.
-
Q1 WAS 4th & 13 at the 38Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 57%
(2:20) 10-T.Way punts 29 yards to NYG 9, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 8-J.Holland.
-
Q1 NYG 4th & 1 at the 82Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.39 EPp(convert) 78%
(:43) 15-C.Johnston punts 49 yards to WAS 33, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 83-J.Lane to NYG 47 for 20 yards (53-D.Muasau).
-
Q2 NYG 4th & 7 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(12:16) 15-C.Johnston punts 38 yards to WAS 23, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 83-J.Lane.
-
Q2 WAS 4th & 6 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 90%
(8:31) 16-J.Moody 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
-
Q2 WAS 4th & 16 at the 83Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(1:54) 10-T.Way punts 55 yards to NYG 28, Center-69-T.Ott. 8-J.Holland to NYG 25 for -3 yards (39-J.Reaves).
-
Q2 NYG 4th & 20 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(1:20) 15-C.Johnston punts 48 yards to WAS 37, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 83-J.Lane for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYG-46-Z.Barnes, Ineligible Downfield Kick, declined.
-
Q3 WAS 4th & 3 at the 64Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.50 EPp(convert) 56%
(9:16) 10-T.Way punts 55 yards to NYG 9, Center-69-T.Ott. 8-J.Holland to NYG 19 for 10 yards (58-J.Magee).
-
Q3 NYG 4th & 4 at the 75Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 56%
(7:32) 15-C.Johnston punts 47 yards to WAS 28, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 83-J.Lane to WAS 36 for 8 yards (53-D.Muasau).
-
Q3 WAS 4th & 3 at the 57Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.78 EPp(convert) 55%
(6:06) 10-T.Way punts 44 yards to NYG 13, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 8-J.Holland.
-
Q3 NYG 4th & 1 at the 60Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 76%
(2:44) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 82-D.Bellinger to WAS 48 for 12 yards (58-J.Magee; 20-Q.Martin).
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 18 at the 33Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 70%
(15:00) 37-Y.Koo 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-15-C.Johnston.
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 4 at the 4Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 98%
(10:27) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short middle to 17-W.Robinson (20-Q.Martin). ** Injury Update: NYG-6-J.Dart has returned to the game.
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Q4 NYG 4th & 5 at the 16 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45% p(FG) 94%
(3:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep right to 17-W.Robinson for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-P.Smith].
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Q4 NYG 4th & 8 at the 38 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.37 EPp(convert) 40% p(FG) 57%
(1:43) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep left to 17-W.Robinson.