Fourth-Down Analyzer
Every 4th-down decision from every game this week, priced in expected points by the same submodels shown on each game's own page, just gathered here one week at a time instead of one game at a time. The objective: see which calls matched what the numbers say and which ones cost the most, across the whole week at a glance.
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Q1 ARI 4th & 3 at the 58Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.47 EPp(convert) 55%
(6:21) 39-P.O'Donnell punts 39 yards to SEA 19, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 3 at the 64Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.36 EPp(convert) 55%
(12:24) 39-P.O'Donnell punts 40 yards to SEA 24, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 65% p(FG) 99%
(4:21) 68-K.Beachum and 71-J.Gaines reported in as eligible. 20-Z.Knight right tackle to SEA 1 for no gain (39-T.Okada).
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Q2 SEA 4th & 9 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 83%
(1:42) 5-J.Myers 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
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Q3 ARI 4th & 11 at the 50Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 32%
(13:03) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 85-T.McBride to SEA 38 for 12 yards (8-C.Bryant; 21-D.Witherspoon).
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Q3 ARI 4th & 2 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54% p(FG) 99%
(9:54) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short left to 20-Z.Knight [7-U.Nwosu].
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Q3 ARI 4th & 6 at the 15Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 95%
(8:47) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 85-T.McBride for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q3 ARI 4th & 5 at the 8Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 98%
(4:37) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short left to 18-M.Harrison (28-N.Pritchett).
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Q4 SEA 4th & 6 at the 13Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.35 EPp(convert) 39% p(FG) 96%
(11:57) 5-J.Myers 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
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Q4 SEA 4th & 4 at the 15Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.46 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 95%
(5:34) 5-J.Myers 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
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Q4 ARI 4th & 5 at the 75 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48%
(4:09) 39-P.O'Donnell punts 45 yards to SEA 30, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
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Q1 IND 4th & 2 at the 27Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 61% p(FG) 86%
(11:01) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 2-J.Downs (20-D.Alford).
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Q1 ATL 4th & 9 at the 45Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 50%
(2:52) 13-B.Pinion punts 43 yards to IND 2, Center-49-L.McCullough, downed by ATL-4-K.Hodge.
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Q2 IND 4th & 6 at the 35Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.30 EPp(convert) 44% p(FG) 73%
(10:46) 12-M.Badgley 53 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q2 ATL 4th & 9 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(9:03) 13-B.Pinion punts 46 yards to IND 10, Center-49-L.McCullough. 2-J.Downs to IND 28 for 18 yards (84-F.Franks). PENALTY on IND-16-A.Dulin, Offensive Holding, 6 yards, enforced at IND 13.
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Q2 IND 4th & 6 at the 89Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.50 EPp(convert) 51%
(7:02) 8-R.Sanchez punts 44 yards to ATL 45, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 14-J.Agnew. Penalty on ATL, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined.
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Q3 ATL 4th & 5 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 88%
(12:30) 45-Z.Gonzalez 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
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Q3 ATL 4th & 8 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(9:47) 13-B.Pinion punts 41 yards to IND 13, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 2-J.Downs.
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Q3 IND 4th & 1 at the 19Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71% p(FG) 93%
(3:29) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor left guard to ATL 14 for 5 yards (17-A.Ebiketie; 55-K.Elliss).
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Q3 IND 4th & 1 at the 5Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 98%
(:52) 28-J.Taylor left end to ATL 7 for -2 yards (40-J.Bertrand).
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Q4 ATL 4th & 10 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(14:42) 13-B.Pinion punts 43 yards to IND 29, Center-49-L.McCullough. 2-J.Downs to ATL 47 for 24 yards (84-F.Franks).
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Q4 IND 4th & 12 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 95%
(9:04) 12-M.Badgley 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q4 ATL 4th & 7 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(7:02) 13-B.Pinion punts 50 yards to IND 9, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 2-J.Downs.
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Q4 IND 4th & 2 at the 40 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 63% p(FG) 62%
(1:17) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass short left to 84-T.Warren ran ob at ATL 30 for 10 yards (31-X.Watts).
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Q4 IND 4th & 6 at the 26 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 87%
(:29) 12-M.Badgley 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q1 BAL 4th & 2 at the 61Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.92 EPp(convert) 62%
(13:25) 11-J.Stout punts 52 yards to MIN 9, Center-46-N.Moore. 4-M.Price to MIN 14 for 5 yards (24-M.Starks; 88-C.Kolar).
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Q1 BAL 4th & 7 at the 26Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 87%
(4:29) 33-T.Loop 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
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Q1 MIN 4th & 2 at the 63Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.72 EPp(convert) 61%
(2:14) 17-R.Wright punts 48 yards to BAL 15, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 83-L.Wester.
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Q2 BAL 4th & 7 at the 82Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(15:00) 11-J.Stout punts 39 yards to MIN 43, Center-46-N.Moore, out of bounds.
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Q2 MIN 4th & 8 at the 31Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 80%
(11:00) 16-W.Reichard 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
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Q2 BAL 4th & 5 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47%
(9:18) 11-J.Stout punts 49 yards to MIN 16, Center-46-N.Moore. 4-M.Price to MIN 16 for no gain (38-K.Martin).
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Q2 BAL 4th & 2 at the 10Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.01 EPp(convert) 55% p(FG) 97%
(1:14) 33-T.Loop 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
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Q2 MIN 4th & 5 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(:40) 17-R.Wright punts 54 yards to BAL 6, Center-42-A.DePaola. 83-L.Wester to BAL 25 for 19 yards (96-T.Batty).
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Q3 BAL 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.95 EPp(convert) 43% p(FG) 98%
(10:22) 33-T.Loop 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
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Q3 MIN 4th & 2 at the 46Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 59% p(FG) 47%
(5:50) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass incomplete short middle to 3-J.Addison (3-C.Awuzie). PENALTY on MIN-19-A.Thielen, Illegal Blindside Block, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 46.
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Q3 BAL 4th & 10 at the 38Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 67%
(5:00) 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
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Q3 MIN 4th & 15 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25% p(FG) 88%
(2:20) 16-W.Reichard 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
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Q4 MIN 4th & 3 at the 13Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48% p(FG) 96%
(7:19) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass incomplete short right to 18-J.Jefferson (2-N.Wiggins).
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Q4 BAL 4th & 17 at the 93Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(5:41) 11-J.Stout punts 58 yards to MIN 35, Center-46-N.Moore, out of bounds.
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Q4 MIN 4th & 10 at the 35 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.47 EPp(convert) 31% p(FG) 73%
(4:49) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass deep right to 1-J.Nailor to BAL 7 for 28 yards (2-N.Wiggins) [3-C.Awuzie].
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Q4 MIN 4th & 10 at the 10 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.42 EPp(convert) 28% p(FG) 97%
(3:28) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass short right to 1-J.Nailor for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q4 BAL 4th & 4 at the 65 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(1:55) 11-J.Stout punts 50 yards to MIN 15, Center-46-N.Moore. 4-M.Price to MIN 27 for 12 yards (35-J.Hummel). PENALTY on MIN-6-D.McGlothern, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at MIN 15.
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Q4 MIN 4th & 4 at the 60 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(:21) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass incomplete short left to 33-A.Jones [45-M.Green].
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Q1 BUF 4th & 1 at the 66Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.20 EPp(convert) 76%
(12:23) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 58 yards to MIA 8, Center-69-R.Ferguson, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.
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Q1 BUF 4th & 1 at the 49Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 74% p(FG) 34%
(1:22) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 85-J.Hawes (29-M.Fitzpatrick).
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Q2 BUF 4th & 10 at the 69Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(13:52) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 46 yards to MIA 23, Center-69-R.Ferguson, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.
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Q2 MIA 4th & 2 at the 69Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.78 EPp(convert) 62%
(11:44) 16-J.Bailey punts 61 yards to BUF 8, Center-49-J.Cardona. 10-K.Shakir pushed ob at BUF 15 for 7 yards (22-E.Campbell).
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Q2 MIA 4th & 13 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 83%
(3:08) 47-R.Patterson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
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Q2 BUF 4th & 13 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(1:19) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 52 yards to MIA 20, Center-69-R.Ferguson. 6-M.Washington pushed ob at MIA 33 for 13 yards (54-B.Spector).
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Q2 MIA 4th & 7 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 25%
(:51) 16-J.Bailey punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-49-J.Cardona, Touchback.
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Q3 MIA 4th & 10 at the 41Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 55%
(2:10) 16-J.Bailey punts 39 yards to BUF 2, Center-49-J.Cardona, downed by MIA-22-E.Campbell.
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Q4 BUF 4th & 15 at the 54 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(4:53) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 10-K.Shakir to MIA 30 for 24 yards (25-T.Dodson) [2-B.Chubb].
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Q4 BUF 4th & 8 at the 63 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(1:15) 19-M.Wishnowsky punts 61 yards to MIA 2, Center-69-R.Ferguson, downed by BUF-37-J.Hancock.
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Q1 CLE 4th & 18 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(13:43) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 49 yards to NYJ 29, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams to NYJ 41 for 12 yards (86-B.Whiteheart; 42-E.Mascarenas-Arnold).
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Q1 NYJ 4th & 8 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(11:46) 14-A.McNamara punts 52 yards to CLE 5, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-37-Q.Stiggers.
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Q1 CLE 4th & 10 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(6:01) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 45 yards to NYJ 26, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CLE-28-T.Avery, Offensive Holding, declined.
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Q1 CLE 4th & 7 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(1:55) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 47 yards to NYJ 14, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams to NYJ 22 for 8 yards (41-C.Edmonds; 86-B.Whiteheart).
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Q1 NYJ 4th & 4 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(:19) 14-A.McNamara punts 46 yards to CLE 26, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 84-G.Larvadain.
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Q2 NYJ 4th & 8 at the 8Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 98%
(3:54) 6-N.Folk 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
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Q2 CLE 4th & 15 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 83%
(:01) 25-A.Szmyt 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
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Q3 NYJ 4th & 13 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(13:32) 14-A.McNamara punts 48 yards to CLE 10, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 84-G.Larvadain.
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Q3 CLE 4th & 18 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(8:05) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 36 yards to NYJ 26, Center-50-R.Sunahara, downed by CLE-17-J.Baker.
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Q3 NYJ 4th & 3 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 53%
(6:31) 14-A.McNamara punts 48 yards to CLE 19, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 84-G.Larvadain.
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Q3 CLE 4th & 10 at the 81Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(3:49) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 58 yards to NYJ 23, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams to NYJ 42 for 19 yards (41-C.Edmonds; 5-R.Jenkins).
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Q4 CLE 4th & 1 at the 33Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 71%
(10:21) (Shotgun) 8-D.Gabriel sacked at NYJ 40 for -7 yards (9-W.McDonald).
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Q4 NYJ 4th & 10 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 92%
(6:17) 6-N.Folk 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
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Q4 CLE 4th & 4 at the 11 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 97%
(3:00) 25-A.Szmyt 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
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Q1 WAS 4th & 3 at the 67Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EPp(convert) 56%
(13:37) 10-T.Way punts 50 yards to DET 17, Center-69-T.Ott. 11-K.Raymond to DET 22 for 5 yards (51-A.Kaho).
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Q1 WAS 4th & 7 at the 26Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 85%
(5:46) 16-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
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Q2 WAS 4th & 1 at the 14Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 95%
(5:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 86-Z.Ertz to DET 6 for 8 yards (29-A.Maddox).
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Q2 DET 4th & 1 at the 41Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73% p(FG) 52%
(2:00) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta pushed ob at WAS 27 for 14 yards (4-F.Luvu) [98-S.Day].
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Q2 DET 4th & 1 at the 18Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 93%
(:59) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 11-K.Raymond to WAS 8 for 10 yards (20-Q.Martin; 6-N.Igbinoghene).
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Q2 DET 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.43 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 98%
(:14) 39-J.Bates 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox. PENALTY on WAS-20-Q.Martin, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
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Q3 WAS 4th & 3 at the 4Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 98%
(7:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 1-D.Samuel for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q3 DET 4th & 8 at the 10Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.64 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 97%
(2:33) 39-J.Bates 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q3 WAS 4th & 3 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 56%
(1:03) 10-T.Way punts 56 yards to DET 16, Center-69-T.Ott. 11-K.Raymond to DET 16 for no gain (18-T.Owens).
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Q4 WAS 4th & 5 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 47%
(10:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 1-D.Samuel pushed ob at DET 24 for 19 yards (27-A.Maulet). Detroit challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
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Q4 DET 4th & 9 at the 30 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 78%
(4:38) 39-J.Bates 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q4 WAS 4th & 7 at the 69 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(2:15) 10-T.Way punts 47 yards to DET 22, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 19-D.Lovett.
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Q1 JAX 4th & 2 at the 14Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.27 EPp(convert) 54% p(FG) 96%
(11:08) 39-C.Little 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
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Q1 HOU 4th & 20 at the 51Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 35%
(2:18) 6-T.Townsend punts 40 yards to JAX 11, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 11-P.Washington to JAX 28 for 17 yards (45-E.Speed).
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Q2 JAX 4th & 13 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(13:44) 9-L.Cooke punts 53 yards to HOU 9, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 14-J.Noel to HOU 17 for 8 yards (56-Y.Abdullah).
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Q2 HOU 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.88 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 98%
(8:08) 42-M.Wright 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q2 JAX 4th & 5 at the 34Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41% p(FG) 75%
(4:07) 39-C.Little 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
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Q3 JAX 4th & 4 at the 15Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 96%
(10:20) 39-C.Little 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
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Q3 HOU 4th & 5 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 57%
(7:29) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass incomplete short middle to 12-N.Collins (22-J.Jones).
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Q4 HOU 4th & 2 at the 17Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 56% p(FG) 95%
(13:02) 10-D.Mills pass short right to 14-J.Noel ran ob at JAX 12 for 5 yards.
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Q4 JAX 4th & 14 at the 91Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(10:14) 9-L.Cooke punts 42 yards to HOU 49, Center-46-R.Matiscik, downed by JAX-47-D.Gardeck.
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Q4 JAX 4th & 4 at the 49Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.39 EPp(convert) 47% p(FG) 39%
(6:16) 9-L.Cooke punts 42 yards to HOU 7, Center-46-R.Matiscik, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
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Q1 SF 4th & 2 at the 57Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.77 EPp(convert) 60%
(9:03) 7-T.Morstead punts 48 yards to LA 9, Center-46-J.Weeks. 19-X.Smith to LA 14 for 5 yards (33-S.Neal).
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Q2 SF 4th & 1 at the 11Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 97%
(8:45) 23-C.McCaffrey left end to LA 11 for no gain (0-B.Young).
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Q2 LA 4th & 6 at the 85Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.45 EPp(convert) 50%
(6:57) 42-E.Evans punts 48 yards to SF 37, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 9-S.Moore to LA 36 for 27 yards (56-S.Dolac).
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Q2 SF 4th & 2 at the 17Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 55% p(FG) 94%
(3:46) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 85-G.Kittle to LA 6 for 11 yards (3-K.Curl). Penalty on LA-3-K.Curl, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
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Q2 LA 4th & 10 at the 41Chose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.67 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 57%
(1:15) 42-E.Evans punts 25 yards to SF 16, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.
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Q2 SF 4th & 7 at the 47Chose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.38 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 42%
(:19) 7-T.Morstead punts 39 yards to LA 8, Center-46-J.Weeks, downed by SF-33-S.Neal.
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Q3 LA 4th & 3 at the 28Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54% p(FG) 84%
(6:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 12-P.Nacua to SF 24 for 4 yards (0-R.Green).
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Q4 SF 4th & 4 at the 59Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(8:36) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 23-C.McCaffrey INTERCEPTED by 1-E.Forbes at SF 43. 1-E.Forbes to SF 38 for 5 yards (85-G.Kittle).
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Q1 LV 4th & 8 at the 42Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 49%
(9:20) 6-A.Cole punts 40 yards to DEN 2, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.
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Q1 DEN 4th & 1 at the 89Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.44 EPp(convert) 76%
(7:12) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 30 yards to DEN 41, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.
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Q1 DEN 4th & 13 at the 83Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(1:40) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 51 yards to LV 32, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 81-A.Bachman to LV 42 for 10 yards (34-J.Skinner). PENALTY on LV-30-D.Holmes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LV 32.
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Q2 LV 4th & 18 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(14:39) 6-A.Cole to LV 11 for -13 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at LV 11. 6-A.Cole punts 43 yards to DEN 33, out of bounds.
-
Q2 DEN 4th & 8 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(12:05) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 36 yards to LV 29, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.
-
Q2 LV 4th & 12 at the 41Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 52%
(9:06) 6-A.Cole punts 40 yards to DEN 1, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.
-
Q2 DEN 4th & 1 at the 90Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.67 EPp(convert) 76%
(7:46) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 38 yards to DEN 48, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds. PENALTY on DEN-34-J.Skinner, Player Out of Bounds on Kick, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 48.
-
Q2 LV 4th & 5 at the 38Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 60%
(6:03) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at DEN 47 for -9 yards (9-T.Hufanga).
-
Q2 LV 4th & 12 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(2:00) 6-A.Cole punts 39 yards to DEN 28, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 83-M.Bandy to DEN 27 for -1 yards (50-J.Bobenmoyer; 44-T.Eichenberg).
-
Q3 DEN 4th & 12 at the 93Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(14:03) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 54 yards to LV 39, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 81-A.Bachman pushed ob at DEN 46 for 15 yards (92-D.Tillman). PENALTY on LV-27-T.McCollum, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LV 39.
-
Q3 LV 4th & 2 at the 63Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.72 EPp(convert) 58%
(12:27) 6-A.Cole punts 47 yards to DEN 16, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, fair catch by 83-M.Bandy.
-
Q3 DEN 4th & 6 at the 41Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.75 EPp(convert) 43% p(FG) 52%
(5:39) 3-W.Lutz 59 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
-
Q3 DEN 4th & 16 at the 39Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 57%
(3:05) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 39 yards to end zone, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Touchback.
-
Q3 LV 4th & 16 at the 86Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(1:37) 6-A.Cole punt is BLOCKED by 34-J.Skinner, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, RECOVERED by DEN-28-T.Badie at LV 12. 28-T.Badie pushed ob at LV 12 for no gain (87-M.Mayer).
-
Q3 DEN 4th & 12 at the 14Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 95%
(:07) 3-W.Lutz 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw. LV-27-T.McCollum was injured during the play.
-
Q4 LV 4th & 11 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(13:56) 6-A.Cole punts 42 yards to DEN 28, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds. PENALTY on LV-25-D.Richardson, Player Out of Bounds on Kick, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 28.
-
Q4 DEN 4th & 6 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(13:01) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 45 yards to LV 18, Center-48-M.Fraboni. 81-A.Bachman to LV 21 for 3 yards (46-A.Prentice; 82-A.Trautman). ** Injury Update: LV-27-T.McCollum has returned to the game. PENALTY on LV-23-D.Laube, Illegal Blindside Block, 10 yards, enforced at LV 20.
-
Q4 LV 4th & 16 at the 48Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 33%
(8:42) 6-A.Cole punts 48 yards to end zone, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Touchback.
-
Q4 LV 4th & 6 at the 30 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 78%
(4:30) 8-D.Carlson 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
-
Q1 NE 4th & 1 at the 57Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73%
(9:19) 95-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 26-T.Jennings left tackle to NE 45 for 2 yards (54-L.David).
-
Q1 NE 4th & 10 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(8:30) 17-B.Baringer punts 55 yards to end zone, Center-47-J.Ashby, Touchback.
-
Q1 TB 4th & 6 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 22%
(6:10) 9-R.Dixon punts 48 yards to NE 5, Center-86-E.Deckers. 25-M.Jones to NE 6 for 1 yard (45-D.Jones).
-
Q1 NE 4th & 6 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(1:55) 17-B.Baringer punts 38 yards to TB 23, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.
-
Q1 TB 4th & 13 at the 80Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(:22) 9-R.Dixon punts 44 yards to NE 36, Center-86-E.Deckers. 25-M.Jones to NE 46 for 10 yards (81-R.Miller). PENALTY on NE-41-B.Schooler, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 38.
-
Q2 TB 4th & 2 at the 62Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.76 EPp(convert) 61%
(13:22) 9-R.Dixon punts 48 yards to NE 14, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 25-M.Jones. PENALTY on NE-22-C.Woods, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, enforced at NE 14.
-
Q2 NE 4th & 3 at the 69Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.52 EPp(convert) 57%
(11:48) 17-B.Baringer punts 44 yards to TB 25, Center-47-J.Ashby, fair catch by 19-K.Johnson.
-
Q2 TB 4th & 8 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 93%
(7:19) 4-C.McLaughlin 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
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Q2 NE 4th & 1 at the 1Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 99%
(:02) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 8-S.Diggs for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q3 TB 4th & 15 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(11:47) 9-R.Dixon punts 35 yards to NE 31, Center-86-E.Deckers. 25-M.Jones MUFFS catch, and recovers at NE 30. NE-25-M.Jones was injured during the play.
-
Q3 NE 4th & 7 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43%
(10:12) 17-B.Baringer punts 59 yards to TB 8, Center-47-J.Ashby. 19-K.Johnson to TB 15 for 7 yards (24-D.Pettus). PENALTY on TB-29-C.Izien, Illegal Blindside Block, 7 yards, enforced at TB 15.
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Q3 NE 4th & 5 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45% p(FG) 48%
(1:19) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 8-S.Diggs (27-Z.McCollum).
-
Q4 TB 4th & 13 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 28%
(12:43) 9-R.Dixon punts 50 yards to end zone, Center-86-E.Deckers, Touchback.
-
Q4 NE 4th & 1 at the 71Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.40 EPp(convert) 74%
(10:21) 17-B.Baringer punts 52 yards to TB 19, Center-47-J.Ashby. 19-K.Johnson to TB 24 for 5 yards (22-C.Woods). ** Injury Update: NE-15-M.Mapu has returned to the game.
-
Q4 TB 4th & 8 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(8:10) 9-R.Dixon punts 32 yards to NE 42, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 25-M.Jones.
-
Q4 TB 4th & 3 at the 27 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50% p(FG) 83%
(1:55) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 1-R.White to NE 30 for -3 yards (21-J.Hawkins) [97-M.Williams].
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Q1 NO 4th & 2 at the 2Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.48 EPp(convert) 52% p(FG) 99%
(2:55) 19-B.Grupe 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
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Q1 CAR 4th & 5 at the 53Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.30 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 19%
(:56) 6-S.Martin punts 51 yards to NO 2, Center-44-J.Jansen, out of bounds.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 3 at the 91Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.54 EPp(convert) 57%
(15:00) 32-K.Kroeger punts 54 yards to CAR 37, Center-49-Z.Wood. 23-T.Etienne to CAR 47 for 10 yards (58-C.Rumph; 43-M.Davis).
-
Q2 NO 4th & 1 at the 66Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71%
(11:29) 7-T.Hill up the middle to NO 36 for 2 yards (52-T.Gipson; 95-D.Brown).
-
Q2 CAR 4th & 3 at the 55Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.92 EPp(convert) 55%
(7:51) 6-S.Martin punts 47 yards to NO 8, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 4 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48%
(6:21) 32-K.Kroeger punts 52 yards to CAR 8, Center-49-Z.Wood. 23-T.Etienne to CAR 13 for 5 yards (44-I.Stalbird).
-
Q2 CAR 4th & 7 at the 84Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(4:09) 6-S.Martin punts 59 yards to NO 25, Center-44-J.Jansen. 11-D.Pettis pushed ob at NO 26 for 1 yard (57-B.Martin-Scott; 0-J.Sanders). PENALTY on NO-53-J.Ford, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NO 26. Penalty on NO-27-I.Yiadom, Offensive Holding, declined.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 9 at the 45Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33% p(FG) 37%
(:27) 32-K.Kroeger punts 26 yards to CAR 19, Center-49-Z.Wood, out of bounds.
-
Q3 NO 4th & 2 at the 55Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.20 EPp(convert) 59%
(12:57) 32-K.Kroeger punts 45 yards to CAR 10, Center-49-Z.Wood, fair catch by 23-T.Etienne.
-
Q3 CAR 4th & 7 at the 30Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 76%
(6:36) 10-R.Fitzgerald 48 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-N.Shepherd), Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin, recovered by CAR-68-D.Lewis at NO 30. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 10-R.Fitzgerald 48 yard field goal is BLOCKED (93-N.Shepherd), Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-6-S.Martin. 94-C.Jordan MUFFS catch at NO 29, RECOVERED by CAR-68-D.Lewis at NO 30.
-
Q3 NO 4th & 1 at the 50Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 25%
(1:20) 41-A.Kamara left tackle to CAR 48 for 2 yards (95-D.Brown; 98-D.Wonnum).
-
Q4 NO 4th & 4 at the 32Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 72%
(13:42) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough sacked at CAR 40 for -8 yards (11-N.Scourton).
-
Q4 CAR 4th & 2 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 60% p(FG) 45%
(7:40) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 30-C.Hubbard to NO 41 for 1 yard (96-C.Granderson).
-
Q1 CHI 4th & 4 at the 30Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49% p(FG) 78%
(12:21) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete deep right to 2-D.Moore.
-
Q1 NYG 4th & 2 at the 49Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 61% p(FG) 31%
(9:28) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at NYG 47 for -4 yards (sack split by 98-M.Sweat and 99-G.Dexter).
-
Q1 NYG 4th & 14 at the 69Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(3:44) 12-J.Gillan punts 54 yards to CHI 15, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 12-D.Duvernay to CHI 28 for 13 yards (46-Z.Barnes).
-
Q1 CHI 4th & 4 at the 51Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.61 EPp(convert) 51% p(FG) 26%
(:48) 19-T.Taylor punts 51 yards to end zone, Center-46-S.Daly, Touchback.
-
Q2 CHI 4th & 8 at the 36Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.74 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 65%
(11:29) 19-T.Taylor punts 25 yards to NYG 11, Center-46-S.Daly, fair catch by 80-G.Olszewski.
-
Q2 NYG 4th & 1 at the 19Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 92%
(5:32) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep right to 82-D.Bellinger (9-J.Brisker). CHI-9-J.Brisker was injured during the play.
-
Q2 CHI 4th & 2 at the 48Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 62% p(FG) 33%
(2:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Swift left tackle to NYG 39 for 9 yards (8-J.Holland).
-
Q2 CHI 4th & 4 at the 33Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49% p(FG) 72%
(1:13) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete short right to 4-D.Swift.
-
Q2 NYG 4th & 10 at the 14Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 95%
(:07) 37-Y.Koo 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan.
-
Q3 CHI 4th & 5 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(9:21) 19-T.Taylor punts 59 yards to end zone, Center-46-S.Daly, Touchback.
-
Q3 NYG 4th & 1 at the 53Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 22%
(7:36) 6-J.Dart right end to CHI 43 for 10 yards (31-K.Byard).
-
Q3 CHI 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.10 EPp(convert) 45% p(FG) 98%
(:38) 8-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 1 at the 1Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +2.36 EPp(convert) 66% p(FG) 99%
(10:21) 37-Y.Koo 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-J.Gillan. Penalty on CHI, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined.
-
Q4 CHI 4th & 3 at the 57Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 57%
(8:51) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete short left to 4-D.Swift. NYG-5-K.Thibodeaux was injured during the play.
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 6 at the 39Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.89 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 57%
(6:20) 12-J.Gillan punts 30 yards to CHI 9, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 12-D.Duvernay.
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 18 at the 73 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(3:01) 12-J.Gillan punts 26 yards to CHI 47, Center-59-C.Kreiter, out of bounds.
-
Q4 NYG 4th & 10 at the 54 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(:43) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete short middle to 17-W.Robinson (49-T.Edmunds) [49-T.Edmunds].
-
Q1 GB 4th & 1 at the 41Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 52%
(11:52) (No Huddle) 10-J.Love up the middle to PHI 39 for 2 yards (58-J.Hunt).
-
Q1 GB 4th & 20 at the 49Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 32%
(9:42) 19-D.Whelan punts 40 yards to PHI 9, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 87-X.Gipson.
-
Q2 GB 4th & 5 at the 59Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.32 EPp(convert) 49%
(15:00) 19-D.Whelan punts 56 yards to PHI 3, Center-42-M.Orzech. 87-X.Gipson to PHI 21 for 18 yards (33-E.Williams; 39-Z.Anderson).
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 7 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(12:40) 10-B.Mann punts 66 yards to GB 10, Center-57-C.Adomitis. 87-R.Doubs to GB 22 for 12 yards (54-J.Trotter; 48-P.Johnson).
-
Q2 GB 4th & 7 at the 59Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.35 EPp(convert) 43%
(8:36) 19-D.Whelan punts 59 yards to end zone, Center-42-M.Orzech, Touchback.
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 2 at the 72Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.95 EPp(convert) 64%
(7:35) 10-B.Mann punts 31 yards to GB 41, Center-57-C.Adomitis, downed by PHI-7-K.Ringo.
-
Q2 GB 4th & 8 at the 57Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(6:48) 19-D.Whelan punts 44 yards to PHI 13, Center-42-M.Orzech. 87-X.Gipson to PHI 26 for 13 yards (59-T.Hopper; 58-I.McDuffie).
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 17 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(2:07) 10-B.Mann punts 45 yards to GB 22, Center-57-C.Adomitis. 87-R.Doubs to GB 32 for 10 yards (48-P.Johnson).
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 4 at the 59Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.60 EPp(convert) 51%
(:05) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep right.
-
Q3 PHI 4th & 8 at the 21Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 91%
(9:02) 4-J.Elliott 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
-
Q3 GB 4th & 9 at the 41Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 52%
(4:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short left to 16-B.Melton.
-
Q3 PHI 4th & 9 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(2:40) 10-B.Mann punts 58 yards to end zone, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Touchback. PHI-48-P.Johnson was injured during the play.
-
Q4 GB 4th & 11 at the 40Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 55%
(12:53) 19-D.Whelan punts 40 yards to end zone, Center-42-M.Orzech, Touchback.
-
Q4 PHI 4th & 13 at the 48 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 34%
(2:25) 10-B.Mann punts 38 yards to GB 10, Center-57-C.Adomitis, fair catch by 25-K.Nixon.
-
Q4 GB 4th & 1 at the 56 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 74%
(1:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs right end to GB 40 for -4 yards (50-J.Phillips, 32-R.Blankenship). FUMBLES (32-R.Blankenship), RECOVERED by PHI-32-R.Blankenship at GB 39. Penalty on GB, Illegal Formation, declined.
-
Q4 PHI 4th & 6 at the 35 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +1.35 EPp(convert) 41% p(FG) 68%
(:33) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep left to 11-A.Brown (24-C.Valentine).
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 4 at the 54Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.74 EPp(convert) 50%
(13:37) 3-C.Waitman punts 43 yards to LAC 11, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.
-
Q1 LAC 4th & 9 at the 88Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(12:11) 16-J.Scott punts 34 yards to LAC 46, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 5 at the 41Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.67 EPp(convert) 44% p(FG) 60%
(10:30) 9-C.Boswell 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
-
Q1 LAC 4th & 1 at the 60Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 73%
(8:59) 10-J.Herbert up the middle to LAC 42 for 2 yards (6-P.Queen; 97-Ca.Heyward).
-
Q1 LAC 4th & 3 at the 51Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.63 EPp(convert) 55% p(FG) 35%
(6:54) 16-J.Scott punts 45 yards to PIT 6, Center-47-J.Harris, downed by LAC-33-D.Leonard.
-
Q1 LAC 4th & 9 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(3:22) 16-J.Scott punts 55 yards to PIT 10, Center-47-J.Harris. 85-K.Williams to PIT 21 for 11 yards (40-K.Williamson).
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 8 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 86%
(13:14) 9-C.Boswell 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
-
Q2 LAC 4th & 10 at the 14Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 96%
(7:35) 11-C.Dicker 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 8 at the 70Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(5:55) 3-C.Waitman punts 51 yards to LAC 19, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.
-
Q2 LAC 4th & 11 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(3:07) 16-J.Scott punts 48 yards to PIT 23, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 85-K.Williams.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 15 at the 58Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(11:52) 16-J.Scott punts 50 yards to PIT 8, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 85-K.Williams.
-
Q3 PIT 4th & 5 at the 73Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48%
(8:48) 3-C.Waitman punts 45 yards to LAC 28, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 12-D.Davis to LAC 36 for 8 yards (10-R.Wilson). PENALTY on LAC-58-M.Wax, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 33.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 4 at the 41Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.67 EPp(convert) 49% p(FG) 60%
(6:12) 11-C.Dicker 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q3 PIT 4th & 8 at the 80Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(5:16) 3-C.Waitman punts 44 yards to LAC 36, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 2 at the 37Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.90 EPp(convert) 60% p(FG) 69%
(:49) 11-C.Dicker 55 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 6 at the 10Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 97%
(12:44) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 4-D.Metcalf (20-C.Hart).
-
Q4 LAC 4th & 19 at the 48Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 42%
(6:35) 16-J.Scott punts 31 yards to PIT 17, Center-47-J.Harris. 85-K.Williams MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LAC-53-D.Phillips at PIT 21.
-
Q4 LAC 4th & 13 at the 24 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 89%
(4:58) 11-C.Dicker 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.