Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 11 at the 71

Los Angeles Chargers 5 – Pittsburgh Steelers 3

(3:07) 16-J.Scott punts 48 yards to PIT 23, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 85-K.Williams.

The Three Options

GO -1.71 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.98 EP
64% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 71, worth -3.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model