Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 9 at the 88

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(12:11) 16-J.Scott punts 34 yards to LAC 46, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.38 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 79, worth +1.20 EP
59% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 88, worth -4.91 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (105 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model