Fourth-Down Analyzer
Every 4th-down decision from every game this week, priced in expected points by the same submodels shown on each game's own page, just gathered here one week at a time instead of one game at a time. The objective: see which calls matched what the numbers say and which ones cost the most, across the whole week at a glance.
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Q1 CHI 4th & 15 at the 77Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(13:53) 19-T.Taylor punts 63 yards to GB 14, Center-46-S.Daly. 87-R.Doubs to GB 31 for 17 yards (44-N.Sewell). PENALTY on GB-16-B.Melton, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at GB 21.
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Q1 CHI 4th & 15 at the 41Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 52%
(5:31) 19-T.Taylor punts 30 yards to GB 11, Center-46-S.Daly, fair catch by 87-R.Doubs.
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Q1 GB 4th & 19 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(3:13) 19-D.Whelan punts 55 yards to CHI 19, Center-42-M.Orzech. 12-D.Duvernay to CHI 25 for 6 yards (33-E.Williams; 59-T.Hopper).
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Q1 CHI 4th & 7 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 41%
(:18) 19-T.Taylor punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-46-S.Daly, Touchback.
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Q2 CHI 4th & 1 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 58%
(4:49) 18-C.Williams scrambles right end ran ob at GB 34 for 5 yards (58-I.McDuffie).
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Q2 CHI 4th & 7 at the 15Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 95%
(1:17) 8-C.Santos 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
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Q2 CHI 4th & 9 at the 62Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(:10) 19-T.Taylor punts 55 yards to GB 7, Center-46-S.Daly, downed by CHI-33-J.Jones.
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Q3 CHI 4th & 7 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 89%
(3:19) 8-C.Santos 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
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Q3 GB 4th & 4 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 53%
(1:42) 19-D.Whelan punts 50 yards to CHI 17, Center-42-M.Orzech, downed by GB-39-Z.Anderson.
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Q4 CHI 4th & 1 at the 14 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.40 EPp(convert) 68% p(FG) 95%
(:27) 18-C.Williams pass deep left intended for 85-C.Kmet INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Nixon at GB -5. Touchback.
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Q1 BUF 4th & 5 at the 8Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.98 EPp(convert) 43% p(FG) 98%
(1:57) 15-M.Prater 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
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Q2 BUF 4th & 4 at the 45Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51% p(FG) 39%
(11:23) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at CIN 28 for 17 yards (20-D.Turner).
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Q2 BUF 4th & 4 at the 11Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 47% p(FG) 97%
(7:36) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CIN-58-J.Ossai, Roughing the Passer, 1 yard, enforced between downs.
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Q2 BUF 4th & 3 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 56% p(FG) 44%
(1:16) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 10-K.Shakir [52-C.Johnson].
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Q2 CIN 4th & 18 at the 48Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26% p(FG) 32%
(:23) 8-R.Rehkow punts 22 yards to BUF 26, Center-46-W.Wagner, downed by CIN-42-O.Burks.
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Q3 CIN 4th & 13 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(8:20) 8-R.Rehkow punts 57 yards to BUF 19, Center-46-W.Wagner. 10-K.Shakir pushed ob at BUF 28 for 9 yards (43-J.Giles-Harris).
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Q4 BUF 4th & 3 at the 3 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51% p(FG) 99%
(3:09) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 85-J.Hawes for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q1 DET 4th & 18 at the 20Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 93%
(10:50) 39-J.Bates 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q1 DAL 4th & 10 at the 39Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 64%
(8:12) 17-B.Aubrey 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q1 DET 4th & 8 at the 51Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39% p(FG) 35%
(7:19) 3-J.Fox punts 42 yards to DAL 9, Center-49-H.Hatten. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 9 for no gain. PENALTY on DAL-25-T.Bridges, Offensive Holding, 4 yards, enforced at DAL 9. Penalty on DAL-9-K.Turpin, Invalid Fair Catch Signal, declined.
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Q1 DAL 4th & 14 at the 99Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(5:36) 5-B.Anger punts 62 yards to DET 37, Center-44-T.Sieg. 85-T.Kennedy to DAL 42 for 21 yards (43-M.Davis; 35-M.Liufau).
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Q2 DAL 4th & 19 at the 24Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 24% p(FG) 89%
(9:27) 17-B.Aubrey 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q2 DET 4th & 2 at the 63Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.10 EPp(convert) 64%
(8:28) 3-J.Fox punts 42 yards to DAL 21, Center-49-H.Hatten, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.
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Q2 DAL 4th & 4 at the 37Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EPp(convert) 50% p(FG) 69%
(:55) 17-B.Aubrey 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q3 DAL 4th & 5 at the 9Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42% p(FG) 98%
(11:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to DET 2 for 7 yards (29-A.Maddox; 23-R.Ya-Sin). FUMBLES (29-A.Maddox), recovered by DAL-73-T.Smith at DET 2.
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Q3 DET 4th & 5 at the 34Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 75%
(5:52) 39-J.Bates 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (54-S.Williams), Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q3 DAL 4th & 19 at the 45Chose KICK Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.30 EPp(convert) 26% p(FG) 50%
(2:54) 17-B.Aubrey 63 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q4 DET 4th & 9 at the 28Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 85%
(11:54) 39-J.Bates 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.
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Q4 DAL 4th & 3 at the 11 late-gameChose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.70 EPp(convert) 51% p(FG) 97%
(3:45) 17-B.Aubrey 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
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Q4 DAL 4th & 10 at the 69 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(1:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 19-R.Flournoy to DAL 40 for 9 yards (2-D.Thomas). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 19-R.Flournoy to DAL 41 for 10 yards (2-D.Thomas).
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Q2 DEN 4th & 6 at the 40Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.52 EPp(convert) 40% p(FG) 62%
(10:10) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 35 yards to LV 5, Center-48-M.Fraboni, fair catch by 19-D.Turner.
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Q2 LV 4th & 15 at the 94Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(6:44) 6-A.Cole punts 42 yards to LV 48, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 19-M.Mims for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q2 LV 4th & 7 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(4:50) 6-A.Cole punts 43 yards to DEN 12, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.
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Q2 DEN 4th & 4 at the 43Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 48% p(FG) 55%
(:25) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 11-T.Franklin to LV 39 for 4 yards (45-D.White) [51-M.Koonce]. The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 11-T.Franklin to LV 41 for 2 yards (45-D.White) [51-M.Koonce].
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Q2 LV 4th & 3 at the 52Chose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.54 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 32%
(:07) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at LV 44 for -4 yards (15-N.Bonitto).
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Q3 LV 4th & 8 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(13:31) 6-A.Cole punts 58 yards to DEN 9, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, downed by LV-59-J.Rhattigan.
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Q3 LV 4th & 2 at the 39Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 53% p(FG) 64%
(2:42) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 18-J.Bech to DEN 22 for 17 yards (9-T.Hufanga).
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Q4 LV 4th & 5 at the 5Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 98%
(14:19) (Shotgun) 15-K.Pickett pass incomplete short right to 89-B.Bowers.
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Q4 DEN 4th & 1 at the 13Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 67% p(FG) 96%
(5:30) 73-F.Crum reported in as eligible. 12-R.Harvey up the middle to LV 12 for 1 yard (45-D.White; 92-J.Pegues).
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Q4 DEN 4th & 3 at the 5 late-gameChose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.79 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 98%
(3:59) 3-W.Lutz 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
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Q4 DEN 4th & 4 at the 28 late-gameChose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +1.37 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 85%
(1:04) 73-F.Crum reported in as eligible. 12-R.Harvey left guard to LV 28 for no gain (99-T.Booker).
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Q1 KC 4th & 4 at the 61Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(13:51) 14-M.Araiza punts 48 yards to HOU 13, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 14-J.Noel.
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Q1 HOU 4th & 8 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(9:24) 6-T.Townsend punts 38 yards to KC 25, Center-40-A.Brinkman, fair catch by 1-X.Worthy.
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Q1 KC 4th & 14 at the 69Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(6:57) 14-M.Araiza punts 57 yards to HOU 12, Center-41-J.Winchester. 14-J.Noel pushed ob at HOU 33 for 21 yards (59-C.McDonald).
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Q1 HOU 4th & 5 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 94%
(4:22) 15-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q2 KC 4th & 10 at the 49Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 32%
(15:00) 14-M.Araiza punts 39 yards to HOU 10, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 14-J.Noel. Penalty on HOU-92-D.Horton, Running Into the Kicker, declined.
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Q2 HOU 4th & 6 at the 42Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.42 EPp(convert) 41% p(FG) 50%
(5:39) 6-T.Townsend punts 39 yards to KC 3, Center-40-A.Brinkman, downed by HOU-19-X.Hutchinson.
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Q2 KC 4th & 8 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 87%
(1:03) 7-H.Butker 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
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Q3 HOU 4th & 14 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(14:08) 6-T.Townsend punts 43 yards to KC 44, Center-40-A.Brinkman, fair catch by 1-X.Worthy.
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Q3 KC 4th & 1 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 99%
(9:59) (Shotgun) 29-K.Hunt right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q3 HOU 4th & 8 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(9:20) 6-T.Townsend punts 56 yards to KC 7, Center-40-A.Brinkman. 1-X.Worthy to KC 13 for 6 yards (31-D.Clark; 33-D.Ogunbowale). PENALTY on KC-34-M.Edwards, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 3 yards, enforced at KC 7.
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Q3 KC 4th & 4 at the 56Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EPp(convert) 50%
(5:43) 14-M.Araiza punts 44 yards to HOU 12, Center-41-J.Winchester, out of bounds.
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Q3 HOU 4th & 10 at the 88Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(4:43) 6-T.Townsend punts 36 yards to HOU 48, Center-40-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.
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Q3 KC 4th & 2 at the 18Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.99 EPp(convert) 57% p(FG) 93%
(1:54) 7-H.Butker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
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Q3 HOU 4th & 10 at the 77Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(:51) 6-T.Townsend punts 39 yards to KC 38, Center-40-A.Brinkman, fair catch by 1-X.Worthy.
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Q4 HOU 4th & 1 at the 65Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.44 EPp(convert) 72%
(11:32) 6-T.Townsend punts 43 yards to KC 22, Center-40-A.Brinkman, fair catch by 1-X.Worthy.
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Q4 KC 4th & 1 at the 69Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 74%
(10:22) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 4-R.Rice (24-D.Stingley) [51-W.Anderson].
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Q4 KC 4th & 4 at the 59Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 51%
(5:31) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 4-R.Rice [96-D.Autry].
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Q4 HOU 4th & 12 at the 43 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.33 EPp(convert) 30% p(FG) 48%
(3:53) 6-T.Townsend punts 35 yards to KC 8, Center-40-A.Brinkman, downed by HOU-19-X.Hutchinson.
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Q4 HOU 4th & 5 at the 10 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 97%
(:33) 15-K.Fairbairn 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
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Q1 JAX 4th & 7 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(13:12) 9-L.Cooke punts 40 yards to IND 20, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.
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Q2 IND 4th & 18 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(15:00) 8-R.Sanchez punts 54 yards to JAX 14, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 81-A.Trammell to JAX 29 for 15 yards (58-A.Ajiake). IND-38-C.Lammons was injured during the play.
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Q2 JAX 4th & 8 at the 69Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 39%
(13:58) 9-L.Cooke punts 50 yards to IND 19, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 6-A.Gould to IND 19 for no gain (26-An.Johnson).
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Q2 IND 4th & 7 at the 9Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.66 EPp(convert) 36% p(FG) 97%
(4:57) 10-B.Grupe 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q2 IND 4th & 1 at the 44Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 72% p(FG) 46%
(1:50) (Shotgun) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to JAX 45 for -1 yards (44-T.Walker).
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Q3 IND 4th & 8 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 93%
(10:01) 10-B.Grupe 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
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Q3 JAX 4th & 10 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(9:02) 9-L.Cooke punts 47 yards to IND 31, Center-46-R.Matiscik, fair catch by 6-A.Gould. ** Injury Update: IND-6-A.Gould has returned to the game.
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Q3 IND 4th & 12 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(6:53) 8-R.Sanchez punts 47 yards to JAX 24, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 81-A.Trammell.
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Q3 JAX 4th & 1 at the 54Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 71%
(3:19) 64-W.Milum reported in as eligible. 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to JAX 47 for 1 yard (90-G.Stewart; 44-Z.Franklin).
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Q4 JAX 4th & 4 at the 17Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44% p(FG) 94%
(14:09) 39-C.Little 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
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Q4 JAX 4th & 1 at the 9Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 97%
(7:08) (Shotgun) 64-W.Milum reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 1-T.Etienne. 1-T.Etienne up the middle to IND 9 for no gain (44-Z.Franklin).
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Q4 JAX 4th & 8 at the 29 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 81%
(4:45) 39-C.Little 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
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Q1 LA 4th & 8 at the 8Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.49 EPp(convert) 35% p(FG) 98%
(7:43) 92-H.Mevis 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-42-E.Evans.
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Q1 ARI 4th & 12 at the 71Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32%
(5:08) 39-M.Haack punts 57 yards to LA 14, Center-46-A.Brewer. 19-X.Smith to LA 26 for 12 yards (44-O.Pappoe).
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Q2 ARI 4th & 18 at the 20Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 22% p(FG) 93%
(8:39) 38-C.Ryland 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-39-M.Haack.
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Q2 ARI 4th & 10 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(1:55) 39-M.Haack punts 57 yards to LA 8, Center-46-A.Brewer, downed by ARI-49-P.Brown.
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Q3 ARI 4th & 5 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45%
(9:21) 39-M.Haack punts 57 yards to LA 3, Center-46-A.Brewer. 19-X.Smith to LA 16 for 13 yards (46-A.Brewer; 49-P.Brown).
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Q3 LA 4th & 6 at the 45Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.58 EPp(convert) 45% p(FG) 50%
(4:23) 42-E.Evans punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Touchback. PENALTY on ARI-13-K.Clark, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ARI 20.
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Q3 ARI 4th & 11 at the 91Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(3:09) 39-M.Haack punts 52 yards to LA 39, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 19-X.Smith.
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Q3 LA 4th & 8 at the 59Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(1:15) 42-E.Evans punts 39 yards to ARI 20, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-48-O.Speights.
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Q4 ARI 4th & 9 at the 79Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(14:09) 39-M.Haack punts 48 yards to LA 31, Center-46-A.Brewer. 19-X.Smith pushed ob at ARI 48 for 21 yards (47-C.Tindall).
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Q4 LA 4th & 6 at the 56Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.54 EPp(convert) 46%
(8:36) 42-E.Evans punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Touchback.
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Q4 ARI 4th & 10 at the 16Chose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.43 EPp(convert) 28% p(FG) 95%
(5:28) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short left to 22-M.Carter (51-T.Reeder).
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Q1 NYJ 4th & 7 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38%
(11:55) 14-A.McNamara punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Touchback.
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Q1 NYJ 4th & 1 at the 56Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.08 EPp(convert) 69%
(2:14) 14-A.McNamara punts 44 yards to MIA 12, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 6-M.Washington.
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Q1 MIA 4th & 2 at the 80Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.82 EPp(convert) 64%
(:42) 16-J.Bailey punts 58 yards to NYJ 22, Center-49-J.Cardona. 18-I.Williams for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
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Q2 MIA 4th & 9 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36% p(FG) 25%
(14:09) 16-J.Bailey punts 40 yards to NYJ 13, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 18-I.Williams.
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Q2 NYJ 4th & 4 at the 81Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(11:56) 14-A.McNamara punts 55 yards to MIA 26, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 6-M.Washington to MIA 41 for 15 yards (45-K.King; 42-T.Hennessy).
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Q2 MIA 4th & 14 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(10:00) 16-J.Bailey punts 43 yards to NYJ 20, Center-49-J.Cardona, fair catch by 18-I.Williams.
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Q2 NYJ 4th & 2 at the 72Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.70 EPp(convert) 60%
(7:20) 14-A.McNamara punts 72 yards to end zone, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Touchback.
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Q2 MIA 4th & 10 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 87%
(2:00) 47-R.Patterson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
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Q2 MIA 4th & 5 at the 90Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(:19) 16-J.Bailey punts 49 yards to NYJ 41, Center-49-J.Cardona. 18-I.Williams to MIA 46 for 13 yards (53-C.Goode; 3-K.Britt).
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Q3 NYJ 4th & 7 at the 52Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 27%
(12:19) 14-A.McNamara punts 45 yards to MIA 7, Center-42-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-37-Q.Stiggers.
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Q3 MIA 4th & 4 at the 87Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 54%
(10:44) 16-J.Bailey punts 50 yards to NYJ 37, Center-49-J.Cardona. 18-I.Williams to MIA 49 for 14 yards (53-C.Goode; 21-A.Davis). PENALTY on NYJ-89-J.Ruckert, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at NYJ 37.
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Q3 NYJ 4th & 17 at the 66Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(8:34) 14-A.McNamara punts 54 yards to MIA 12, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 6-M.Washington to MIA 29 for 17 yards (84-S.Smartt).
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Q3 MIA 4th & 6 at the 42Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.55 EPp(convert) 41% p(FG) 52%
(2:47) 16-J.Bailey punts 19 yards to NYJ 23, Center-49-J.Cardona, out of bounds.
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Q3 NYJ 4th & 8 at the 75Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.88 EPp(convert) 38%
(1:07) (Punt formation) 27-M.Moore FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 24, recovered by NYJ-32-I.Davis at NYJ 24. 32-I.Davis pushed ob at NYJ 44 for 20 yards (18-N.Westbrook-Ikhine).
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Q4 NYJ 4th & 9 at the 12Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29% p(FG) 96%
(12:17) 6-N.Folk 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
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Q4 NYJ 4th & 10 at the 45 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 44%
(4:35) (Shotgun) 4-B.Cook sacked at NYJ 42 for -13 yards (9-I.Melifonwu).
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Q4 MIA 4th & 14 at the 35 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 70%
(2:29) 47-R.Patterson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
-
Q1 NO 4th & 11 at the 78Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 33%
(6:21) 32-K.Kroeger punts 48 yards to TB 30, Center-49-Z.Wood. 19-K.Johnson pushed ob at TB 43 for 13 yards (7-T.Hill). PENALTY on TB-32-J.Hayes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TB 30.
-
Q1 TB 4th & 1 at the 45Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 44%
(1:01) 7-B.Irving right end to TB 48 for -7 yards (96-C.Granderson).
-
Q2 NO 4th & 5 at the 30Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 80%
(13:45) 39-C.Smyth 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q2 TB 4th & 13 at the 47Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 39%
(11:46) 9-R.Dixon punts 31 yards to NO 16, Center-86-E.Deckers, fair catch by 11-D.Pettis.
-
Q2 TB 4th & 5 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 89%
(9:15) 4-C.McLaughlin 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
-
Q2 NO 4th & 20 at the 82Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(6:38) 32-K.Kroeger punts 53 yards to TB 29, Center-49-Z.Wood. 19-K.Johnson MUFFS catch, and recovers at TB 28. 19-K.Johnson pushed ob at TB 28 for no gain (43-M.Davis).
-
Q2 TB 4th & 1 at the 49Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 34%
(2:42) 44-S.Tucker up the middle to NO 49 for no gain (56-D.Davis).
-
Q2 NO 4th & 1 at the 42Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 52%
(:57) 24-D.Neal left guard to TB 44 for -2 yards (5-H.Reddick). TB-5-H.Reddick was injured during the play.
-
Q2 TB 4th & 1 at the 46Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 69% p(FG) 42%
(:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield right tackle to NO 42 for 4 yards (4-K.McKinstry).
-
Q2 TB 4th & 15 at the 47Chose GO Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.61 EPp(convert) 26% p(FG) 39%
(:02) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left.
-
Q3 NO 4th & 5 at the 12Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.47 EPp(convert) 38% p(FG) 96%
(1:36) 39-C.Smyth 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-32-K.Kroeger.
-
Q4 TB 4th & 2 at the 46Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 58% p(FG) 42%
(12:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 14-C.Godwin (4-K.McKinstry).
-
Q4 TB 4th & 1 at the 19Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 93%
(6:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-R.White left guard to NO 17 for 2 yards (92-D.Godchaux; 56-D.Davis).
-
Q4 TB 4th & 12 at the 19 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 93%
(4:58) 4-C.McLaughlin 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
-
Q4 NO 4th & 11 at the 50 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 32%
(1:54) 32-K.Kroeger punts 50 yards to end zone, Center-49-Z.Wood, Touchback.
-
Q4 TB 4th & 4 at the 74 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50%
(1:27) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton to TB 29 for 3 yards (56-D.Davis).
-
Q1 PHI 4th & 13 at the 60Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(11:45) 10-B.Mann punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Touchback.
-
Q1 PHI 4th & 8 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 90%
(3:26) 4-J.Elliott 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
-
Q1 LAC 4th & 7 at the 63Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(1:17) 16-J.Scott punts 53 yards to PHI 10, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 5 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(14:55) 10-B.Mann punts 53 yards to LAC 32, Center-57-C.Adomitis. 12-D.Davis to LAC 22 for -10 yards (83-K.Granson).
-
Q2 LAC 4th & 15 at the 68Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 29%
(12:46) 16-J.Scott punts 56 yards to PHI 12, Center-47-J.Harris. 18-B.Covey to PHI 26 for 14 yards (40-K.Williamson).
-
Q2 LAC 4th & 6 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 86%
(5:00) 11-C.Dicker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q2 PHI 4th & 12 at the 12Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 97%
(:52) 4-J.Elliott 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 16 at the 16Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 23% p(FG) 95%
(5:36) 11-C.Dicker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q3 PHI 4th & 8 at the 36Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 71%
(3:27) 4-J.Elliott 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
-
Q3 LAC 4th & 18 at the 83Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(:45) 16-J.Scott punts 44 yards to PHI 39, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.
-
Q4 LAC 4th & 3 at the 51Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.76 EPp(convert) 53% p(FG) 35%
(12:02) 16-J.Scott punts 46 yards to PHI 5, Center-47-J.Harris. 18-B.Covey to PHI 27 for 22 yards (58-M.Wax).
-
Q4 LAC 4th & 3 at the 13Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.76 EPp(convert) 48% p(FG) 96%
(7:29) 11-C.Dicker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q4 PHI 4th & 6 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(5:55) 10-B.Mann punts 42 yards to LAC 25, Center-57-C.Adomitis, out of bounds.
-
Q4 LAC 4th & 14 at the 79 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(3:46) 16-J.Scott punts 57 yards to PHI 22, Center-47-J.Harris. 18-B.Covey ran ob at PHI 40 for 18 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu).
-
Q4 PHI 4th & 11 at the 26 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30% p(FG) 87%
(2:20) 4-J.Elliott 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Holder-10-B.Mann.
-
Q4 LAC 4th & 1 at the 29 late-gameChose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 84%
(:12) 11-C.Dicker 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
-
Q1 BAL 4th & 4 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 43% p(FG) 93%
(11:02) 33-T.Loop 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 1 at the 4Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 64% p(FG) 98%
(8:46) Direct snap to 83-Co.Heyward. 83-Co.Heyward left guard to BAL 2 for 2 yards (14-K.Hamilton).
-
Q1 BAL 4th & 13 at the 77Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(5:02) 11-J.Stout punts 48 yards to PIT 29, Center-46-N.Moore. 19-C.Austin pushed ob at PIT 32 for 3 yards (39-K.Jackson).
-
Q1 PIT 4th & 1 at the 59Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.34 EPp(convert) 70%
(3:14) 3-C.Waitman punts 48 yards to BAL 11, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 83-L.Wester.
-
Q1 BAL 4th & 4 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 49%
(:34) 11-J.Stout punts 54 yards to PIT 11, Center-46-N.Moore. 19-C.Austin pushed ob at PIT 20 for 9 yards (27-T.Tampa).
-
Q2 PIT 4th & 3 at the 5Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.59 EPp(convert) 46% p(FG) 98%
(10:41) 9-C.Boswell 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
-
Q3 PIT 4th & 10 at the 10Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28% p(FG) 97%
(11:01) 9-C.Boswell 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-3-C.Waitman.
-
Q4 BAL 4th & 4 at the 10Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.71 EPp(convert) 42% p(FG) 97%
(13:46) 33-T.Loop 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 5 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(11:31) 3-C.Waitman punts 50 yards to BAL 22, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 83-L.Wester to BAL 32 for 10 yards (55-C.Holcomb).
-
Q4 BAL 4th & 1 at the 24Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 66% p(FG) 88%
(8:49) 22-D.Henry left end to PIT 20 for 4 yards (55-C.Holcomb).
-
Q4 BAL 4th & 8 at the 18Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 93%
(7:15) 33-T.Loop 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 15 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(5:53) 3-C.Waitman punts 46 yards to BAL 18, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 83-L.Wester to BAL 22 for 4 yards (33-J.Sawyer).
-
Q4 BAL 4th & 5 at the 54 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 44%
(4:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 4-Z.Flowers to PIT 48 for 6 yards (5-J.Ramsey).
-
Q4 BAL 4th & 5 at the 8 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 38% p(FG) 98%
(2:28) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 89-M.Andrews.
-
Q4 PIT 4th & 7 at the 89 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(2:08) 3-C.Waitman punts 53 yards to BAL 36, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 83-L.Wester to BAL 44 for 8 yards (41-P.Wilson). PENALTY on BAL-39-K.Jackson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 36.
-
Q4 BAL 4th & 2 at the 66 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 61%
(:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 80-I.Likely to BAL 42 for 8 yards (41-P.Wilson).
-
Q1 ATL 4th & 7 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 37%
(11:40) 13-B.Pinion punts 39 yards to SEA 11, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
-
Q1 SEA 4th & 20 at the 99Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 30%
(9:30) 4-M.Dickson punts 52 yards to ATL 47, Center-41-C.Stoll. 14-J.Agnew to SEA 39 for 14 yards (82-C.White).
-
Q1 ATL 4th & 8 at the 17Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 95%
(7:17) 45-Z.Gonzalez 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
-
Q1 SEA 4th & 4 at the 4Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.05 EPp(convert) 44% p(FG) 98%
(:52) 5-J.Myers 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q2 ATL 4th & 1 at the 62Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70%
(13:45) 25-T.Allgeier left tackle to ATL 43 for 5 yards (21-D.Witherspoon; 7-U.Nwosu).
-
Q2 ATL 4th & 8 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 36%
(11:29) 13-B.Pinion punts 45 yards to SEA 10, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.
-
Q2 ATL 4th & 12 at the 32Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27% p(FG) 79%
(7:38) 45-Z.Gonzalez 50 yard field goal is BLOCKED (3-N.Emmanwori), Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion, recovered by ATL-69-J.Nelson at SEA 34.
-
Q2 SEA 4th & 8 at the 64Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40%
(5:56) 4-M.Dickson punts 52 yards to ATL 12, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 14-J.Agnew.
-
Q2 ATL 4th & 5 at the 25Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 88%
(1:06) 45-Z.Gonzalez 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. ** Injury Update: SEA-95-B.Pili has returned to the game.
-
Q3 SEA 4th & 7 at the 19Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 93%
(2:43) 5-J.Myers 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
-
Q4 ATL 4th & 2 at the 9Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.31 EPp(convert) 53% p(FG) 98%
(15:00) 45-Z.Gonzalez 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
-
Q4 ATL 4th & 3 at the 3Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 45% p(FG) 99%
(5:13) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass incomplete short right to 1-D.Mooney (39-T.Okada).
-
Q4 SEA 4th & 4 at the 48 late-gameChose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.86 EPp(convert) 50% p(FG) 42%
(:31) 4-M.Dickson punts 44 yards to ATL 4, Center-41-C.Stoll, downed by SEA-32-V.Jones.
-
Q1 CLE 4th & 18 at the 93Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(7:19) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 39 yards to CLE 46, Center-50-R.Sunahara, downed by CLE-31-D.McMillon.
-
Q1 CLE 4th & 8 at the 20Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31% p(FG) 92%
(1:47) 25-A.Szmyt 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez. Penalty on TEN-21-M.Robinson, Defensive Offside, declined.
-
Q2 TEN 4th & 6 at the 50Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37% p(FG) 32%
(11:48) 3-J.Hekker punts 41 yards to CLE 9, Center-46-M.Cox. 84-G.Larvadain MUFFS catch, and recovers at CLE 9.
-
Q2 CLE 4th & 8 at the 49Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34% p(FG) 34%
(6:54) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 34 yards to TEN 15, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 17-C.Dike. Penalty on TEN-44-M.Brown, Defensive Offside, declined.
-
Q2 TEN 4th & 4 at the 67Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 46%
(3:54) 3-J.Hekker punts 50 yards to CLE 17, Center-46-M.Cox. 84-G.Larvadain pushed ob at CLE 26 for 9 yards (36-J.Chestnut).
-
Q2 TEN 4th & 13 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(:33) 3-J.Hekker punts 40 yards to CLE 16, Center-46-M.Cox. 84-G.Larvadain to CLE 18 for 2 yards (21-M.Robinson).
-
Q3 CLE 4th & 10 at the 52Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 32% p(FG) 27%
(11:45) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 27 yards to TEN 25, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.
-
Q3 TEN 4th & 7 at the 72Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 37%
(10:05) 3-J.Hekker punts 44 yards to CLE 28, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 84-G.Larvadain.
-
Q3 CLE 4th & 3 at the 65Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 53%
(8:31) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 41 yards to TEN 24, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 17-C.Dike.
-
Q3 TEN 4th & 8 at the 74Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35%
(7:45) 3-J.Hekker punts 51 yards to CLE 23, Center-46-M.Cox, downed by TEN-21-M.Robinson.
-
Q3 CLE 4th & 6 at the 73Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 42%
(6:03) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 39 yards to TEN 34, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 17-C.Dike.
-
Q3 TEN 4th & 7 at the 53Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 25%
(3:22) 3-J.Hekker punts 53 yards to end zone, Center-46-M.Cox, Touchback.
-
Q4 CLE 4th & 18 at the 85Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27%
(14:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 42 yards to TEN 43, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 17-C.Dike to TEN 41 for -2 yards (50-R.Sunahara). PENALTY on TEN-88-D.Martin-Robinson, Illegal Blindside Block, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 41.
-
Q4 TEN 4th & 12 at the 54Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 27%
(11:16) 3-J.Hekker punts 54 yards to end zone, Center-46-M.Cox, Touchback.
-
Q4 CLE 4th & 15 at the 56Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 26%
(8:30) 13-C.Bojorquez punt is BLOCKED by 52-J.Williams, Center-50-R.Sunahara, RECOVERED by TEN-44-M.Brown at CLE 36. 44-M.Brown to CLE 29 for 7 yards (33-R.Hickman).
-
Q4 TEN 4th & 4 at the 23Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 40% p(FG) 89%
(6:21) 6-J.Slye 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.
-
Q4 TEN 4th & 10 at the 65 late-gameChose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 31%
(2:53) 3-J.Hekker punts 50 yards to CLE 15, Center-46-M.Cox. 84-G.Larvadain pushed ob at CLE 20 for 5 yards (52-J.Williams).
-
Q1 WAS 4th & 2 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 55% p(FG) 99%
(2:46) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 1-D.Samuel.
-
Q2 WAS 4th & 1 at the 67Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.11 EPp(convert) 73%
(4:25) 10-T.Way punts 46 yards to MIN 21, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 4-M.Price.
-
Q2 MIN 4th & 20 at the 76Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 25%
(1:51) 17-R.Wright punts 43 yards to WAS 33, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 83-J.Lane.
-
Q2 WAS 4th & 11 at the 55Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 34%
(:27) 10-T.Way punts 49 yards to MIN 6, Center-69-T.Ott. 4-M.Price to MIN 14 for 8 yards (56-K.Medrano).
-
Q3 WAS 4th & 1 at the 37Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 70% p(FG) 69%
(10:26) (No Huddle) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 86-Z.Ertz to MIN 26 for 11 yards (2-I.Rodgers; 51-B.Cashman).
-
Q3 WAS 4th & 3 at the 19Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 50% p(FG) 93%
(8:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left intended for 17-T.McLaurin INTERCEPTED by 43-A.Van Ginkel at MIN 30. 43-A.Van Ginkel to WAS 30 for 40 yards (17-T.McLaurin).
-
Q3 MIN 4th & 7 at the 27Chose KICK ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 35% p(FG) 86%
(7:06) 16-W.Reichard 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
-
Q3 WAS 4th & 19 at the 79Chose PUNT ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 28%
(1:28) 10-T.Way punts 45 yards to MIN 34, Center-69-T.Ott. 4-M.Price to MIN 34 for no gain (18-T.Owens). Penalty on WAS-57-N.Bellore, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. Penalty on MIN-0-I.Pace, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting.
-
Q4 MIN 4th & 2 at the 2Chose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 52% p(FG) 99%
(11:31) (Shotgun) 9-J.McCarthy pass short right to 87-T.Hockenson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. WAS-31-J.Jones was injured during the play.
-
Q4 MIN 4th & 1 at the 35 late-gameChose GO ✓ matched the modelp(convert) 68% p(FG) 73%
(2:03) 36-Z.Scott left guard to WAS 25 for 10 yards (20-Q.Martin; 6-N.Igbinoghene).