Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 7 at the 63

Los Angeles Chargers 7 – Philadelphia Eagles 3

(1:17) 16-J.Scott punts 53 yards to PHI 10, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.

The Three Options

GO -0.99 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.58 EP
60% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 63, worth -3.39 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model