Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cleveland Browns 4th & 6 at the 73

Cleveland Browns 17 – Tennessee Titans 14

(6:03) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 39 yards to TEN 34, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 17-C.Dike.

The Three Options

GO -1.61 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.79 EP
58% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 73, worth -4.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model