Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 5 at the 72

Pittsburgh Steelers 27 – Baltimore Ravens 19

(11:31) 3-C.Waitman punts 50 yards to BAL 22, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 83-L.Wester to BAL 32 for 10 yards (55-C.Holcomb).

The Three Options

GO -1.60 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.49 EP
54% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 72, worth -4.21 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model