Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 13 at the 60

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 0

(11:45) 10-B.Mann punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-57-C.Adomitis, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.70 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +2.76 EP
69% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 60, worth -3.70 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model