Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 13 at the 61

Carolina Panthers 7 – New Orleans Saints 0

(15:00) 6-S.Martin punts 56 yards to NO 5, Center-44-J.Jansen, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.61 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +2.67 EP
71% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 61, worth -3.40 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model