Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 19 at the 62

Cincinnati Bengals 0 – Baltimore Ravens 7

(1:13) 8-R.Rehkow punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-46-W.Wagner, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.50 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +3.01 EP
74% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 62, worth -3.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model