Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 75

Los Angeles Chargers 3 – Kansas City Chiefs 7

(13:40) 16-J.Scott punts 39 yards to KC 36, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 81-N.Remigio.

The Three Options

GO -1.99 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.16 EP
56% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 75, worth -4.46 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model