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IND Away

Indianapolis Colts

HC Shane Steichen
@
WAS Home

Washington Commanders

HC Dan Quinn
Sunday 2026-10-04 · 09:30 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London GB ❓ Unknown Spread 1.5 O/U 50.5

Win Probability

IND
54.2%
WAS
45.8%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • Neutral site — no home-field edge
  • WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • Daniel Jones (IND): +0.164 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • IND crossing 6 time zone(s)
  • IND defense: +0.067 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (25th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

IND 25
WAS 23
Projected margin: IND by 2 Projected total: 48

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 4

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.