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Best Bets — Week 9

This week's most confident calls: every game at 'clear edge' or better (see Track Record), sorted by how favored the pick is. Not the same as Value Picks -- this is how sure the model is of its own number, regardless of what the betting line says.

See the Full Track Record →

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NYJ @ KC
Model: KC 84.8% · strong edge

NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
LV @ SF
Model: SF 79.7% · strong edge

LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
ARI @ SEA
Model: SEA 78.5% · strong edge

SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
CLE @ NO
Model: NO 76.4% · strong edge

CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
GB @ NE
Model: NE 67.3% · clear edge

NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
LA @ WAS
Model: LA 66.9% · clear edge

LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
TB @ CHI
Model: CHI 65.1% · clear edge

CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)