4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
TB Away

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HC Todd Bowles
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

HC Ben Johnson
Sunday 2026-11-08 · 20:20 Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

TB
34.3%
CHI
65.7%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • Baker Mayfield (TB): -0.083 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

TB 24
CHI 25
Projected margin: CHI by 1 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 9

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.