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Sunday 2026-11-08 · 20:20 ET
Soldier Field, Chicago US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- QB edge to CHI: Caleb Williams (CHI) +0.140 vs Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.119 EPA/dropback
- CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
- CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
TB
24
17–31
–
CHI
26
19–33
Projected margin: CHI by 2
Projected total: 50
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 9
TB
No players on the report.
CHI
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
