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Sunday 2026-11-08 · 13:00 ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
- Geno Smith (NYJ): -0.069 EPA/dropback in prior starts
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
NYJ
18
11–25
–
KC
27
20–34
Projected margin: KC by 9
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 9
NYJ
No players on the report.
KC
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
