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Best Bets — Week 13

This week's most confident calls: every game at 'clear edge' or better (see Track Record), sorted by how favored the pick is. Not the same as Value Picks -- this is how sure the model is of its own number, regardless of what the betting line says.

See the Full Track Record →

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KC @

Model: LA 74.3% · strong edge

LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)

MIA @

DEN

Model: DEN 74.0% · strong edge

DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)

DAL @

SEA

Model: SEA 68.8% · clear edge

SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)

LAC @

Model: TB 63.2% · clear edge

LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)