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KC Away

Kansas City Chiefs

HC Andy Reid
@
LA Home

Los Angeles Rams

HC Sean McVay
Thursday 2026-12-03 · 20:15 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

KC
22.6%
LA
77.4%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LA offense: +0.179 EPA/play over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
  • KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
  • QB edge to LA: Matthew Stafford (LA) +0.239 vs Patrick Mahomes (KC) +0.155 EPA/dropback
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • LA defense: +0.034 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (18th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

KC 22
LA 28
Projected margin: LA by 6 Projected total: 50

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 13

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.