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Sunday 2026-12-06 · 13:00 ET
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
- TB offense: -0.020 EPA/play over its last 8 games (21st in the league)
- QB edge to LAC: Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.119 vs Justin Herbert (LAC) -0.130 EPA/dropback
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Predicted Final Score
LAC
22
15–29
–
TB
23
16–30
Projected margin: TB by 1
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 13
LAC
No players on the report.
TB
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 13 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
