4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
LV Away

Las Vegas Raiders

HC Klint Kubliak
@
LAC Home

Los Angeles Chargers

HC Jim Harbaugh
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:05 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US 🏟 Dome Spread 8.5 O/U 42.5

Win Probability

LV
29.1%
LAC
70.9%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • Kirk Cousins (LV): -0.046 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised

Predicted Final Score

LV 20
LAC 23
Projected margin: LAC by 3 Projected total: 43

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 2

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.