Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 8 at the 68

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Las Vegas Raiders 0

(5:41) 16-J.Scott punts 47 yards to LV 21, Center-47-J.Harris, downed by LAC-87-G.Jennings.

The Three Options

GO -1.41 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.34 EP
62% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 68, worth -3.66 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model