Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 95

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Las Vegas Raiders 0

(13:21) 16-J.Scott punts 46 yards to LV 49, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.98 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 89, worth +0.31 EP
54% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 95, worth -5.75 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (112 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model