← Home
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 13:00
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US
❓ Unknown
Spread 6.5
O/U 42.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- CLE defense: -0.107 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
- QB edge to TB: Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.083 vs Deshaun Watson (CLE) -0.174 EPA/dropback
Predicted Final Score
CLE
19
–
TB
24
Projected margin: TB by 5
Projected total: 43
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 2
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.