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PIT Away

Pittsburgh Steelers

HC Mike McCarthy
@
TB Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HC Todd Bowles
Sunday 2026-10-18 · 13:00 Raymond James Stadium, Tampa US ❓ Unknown Spread 1.5 O/U 45.5

Win Probability

PIT
38.8%
TB
61.2%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
  • TB defense: +0.088 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • QB edge to PIT: Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.083 vs Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.038 EPA/dropback
  • TB on 3 more days rest than PIT

Predicted Final Score

PIT 22
TB 23
Projected margin: TB by 1 Projected total: 45

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 6

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.