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Thursday 2026-10-01 · 20:15
Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland US
❓ Unknown
Spread -2.5
O/U 40.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- CLE defense: -0.107 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
- PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- QB edge to PIT: Deshaun Watson (CLE) -0.174 vs Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.038 EPA/dropback
Predicted Final Score
PIT
24
–
CLE
20
Projected margin: PIT by 4
Projected total: 44
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 4
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.