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Sunday 2026-10-04 · 13:00
Soldier Field, Chicago US
❓ Unknown
Spread 8.5
O/U 45.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- Geno Smith (NYJ): -0.200 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
- CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
Predicted Final Score
NYJ
18
–
CHI
28
Projected margin: CHI by 10
Projected total: 46
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 4
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.