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CLE Away

Cleveland Browns

HC Todd Monken
@
JAX Home

Jacksonville Jaguars

HC Liam Coen
Sunday 2026-09-13 · 13:00 EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville US ❓ Unknown Spread 8.5 O/U 40.5

Win Probability

CLE
13.3%
JAX
86.7%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • Deshaun Watson (CLE): -0.174 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • CLE defense: -0.107 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (7th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CLE 16
JAX 28
Projected margin: JAX by 12 Projected total: 44

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 1

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.