Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 18 at the 73

Cleveland Browns 0 – Jacksonville Jaguars 14

(15:00) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 45 yards to JAX 28, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 11-P.Washington.

The Three Options

GO -2.90 EP

23% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.05 EP
77% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 73, worth -4.37 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model