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HOU Away

Houston Texans

HC DeMeco Ryans
@
JAX Home

Jacksonville Jaguars

HC Liam Coen
Sunday 2026-10-18 · 09:30 Wembley Stadium, London GB ❓ Unknown Spread 1.5 O/U 42.5

Win Probability

HOU
37.5%
JAX
62.5%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • Neutral site — no home-field edge
  • JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
  • HOU crossing 6 time zone(s)

Predicted Final Score

HOU 22
JAX 25
Projected margin: JAX by 3 Projected total: 47

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 6

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.