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WAS Away

Washington Commanders

HC Dan Quinn
@
DAL Home

Dallas Cowboys

HC Brian Schottenheimer
Sunday 2026-09-20 · 16:25 AT&T Stadium, Arlington US 🏟 Dome Spread 4.5 O/U 51.5

Win Probability

WAS
36.4%
DAL
63.6%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • Dak Prescott (DAL): +0.161 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • WAS offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (14th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

WAS 24
DAL 27
Projected margin: DAL by 3 Projected total: 51

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 2

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.