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Monday 2026-09-14 · 20:15
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City US
❓ Unknown
Spread 3.0
O/U 43.5
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- Patrick Mahomes (KC): +0.155 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
Predicted Final Score
DEN
23
–
KC
24
Projected margin: KC by 1
Projected total: 47
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 1
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.