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Detroit Lions

HC Dan Campbell
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BUF Home

Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
Thursday 2026-09-17 · 20:15 Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US ❓ Unknown Spread 3.0 O/U 52.5

Win Probability

DET
28.1%
BUF
71.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
  • DET offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
  • DET defense: +0.062 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • QB edge to BUF: Josh Allen (BUF) +0.140 vs Jared Goff (DET) +0.123 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

DET 23
BUF 27
Projected margin: BUF by 4 Projected total: 50

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 2

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.