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Indianapolis Colts

HC Frank Reich
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Houston Texans

HC Lovie Smith
Sunday 2022-09-11 · 13:00 NRG Stadium, Houston US 🏟 Dome Spread -7.0 O/U 46.0

Prediction unavailable for this game — it isn't in the current feature set yet. Try rerunning build_pregame_features.py.

Predicted Final Score

Not available for this game yet. Run python src/models/train_score.py to train the score model, then python src/features/build_pregame_features.py if this game was added after that.

Injury Report — Week 1

IND

Shaquille Leonard LB Out Back
Dennis Kelly T Questionable Knee

HOU

Mario Addison DE Doubtful Thigh
Rasheem Green DE Questionable Thigh

Pulled fresh for 2022 week 1 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

IND 20
–
HOU 20

Scoring Summary

  • Q1 05:18 FG IND (5:18) 3-R.Blankenship 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack. IND 3 – HOU 0
  • Q2 07:54 FG HOU (7:54) 7-K.Fairbairn 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston. IND 3 – HOU 3
  • Q2 02:42 TD HOU (2:42) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short right to 83-O.Howard for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND 3 – HOU 9
  • Q3 12:20 FG HOU (12:20) 7-K.Fairbairn 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston. IND 3 – HOU 13
  • Q3 07:21 TD HOU (7:21) 10-D.Mills pass deep left to 83-O.Howard for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND 3 – HOU 19
  • Q4 10:47 FG IND (10:47) 3-R.Blankenship 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack. IND 6 – HOU 20
  • Q4 07:46 TD IND (7:46) 28-J.Taylor right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND 12 – HOU 20
  • Q4 02:00 TD IND (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 11-M.Pittman for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND 19 – HOU 20

Fourth-Down Decisions

  • Q1 IND 4th & 1 at the 66
    Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.27 EP
    p(convert) 72%

    (13:17) 6-M.Haack punts 44 yards to HOU 22, Center-46-L.Rhodes, out of bounds.

  • Q1 HOU 4th & 2 at the 70
    Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.49 EP
    p(convert) 62%

    (12:06) 11-C.Johnston punts 44 yards to IND 26, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 21-N.Hines.

  • Q1 IND 4th & 2 at the 27
    Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.66 EP
    p(convert) 56% p(FG) 85%

    (5:18) 3-R.Blankenship 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

  • Q1 HOU 4th & 5 at the 70
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 47%

    (3:57) 11-C.Johnston punts 49 yards to IND 21, Center-46-J.Weeks. 21-N.Hines to IND 30 for 9 yards (53-B.Cashman; 1-T.Smith).

  • Q2 IND 4th & 2 at the 2
    Chose GO ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 53% p(FG) 99%

    (14:14) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 21-N.Hines. 21-N.Hines up the middle to HOU 4 for -2 yards (52-J.Greenard).

  • Q2 HOU 4th & 8 at the 27
    Chose KICK ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 34% p(FG) 85%

    (7:54) 7-K.Fairbairn 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.

  • Q2 IND 4th & 18 at the 42
    Chose PUNT Model wanted KICK instead — cost +0.39 EP
    p(convert) 24% p(FG) 55%

    (:45) 6-M.Haack punts 28 yards to HOU 14, Center-46-L.Rhodes, fair catch by 25-D.King.

  • Q3 HOU 4th & 2 at the 25
    Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.58 EP
    p(convert) 56% p(FG) 87%

    (12:20) 7-K.Fairbairn 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.

  • Q3 IND 4th & 6 at the 71
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 44%

    (6:30) 6-M.Haack punts 70 yards to HOU 1, Center-46-L.Rhodes, downed by IND-41-G.Stuard.

  • Q4 HOU 4th & 8 at the 41
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 35% p(FG) 57%

    (14:56) 11-C.Johnston punts 37 yards to IND 4, Center-46-J.Weeks. 21-N.Hines to IND 15 for 11 yards (29-M.Stewart).

  • Q4 IND 4th & 9 at the 9
    Chose KICK ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 30% p(FG) 97%

    (10:47) 3-R.Blankenship 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.

  • Q4 HOU 4th & 8 at the 62 late-game
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 38%

    (4:39) 11-C.Johnston punts 49 yards to IND 13, Center-46-J.Weeks. 21-N.Hines to IND 20 for 7 yards (53-B.Cashman).

  • Q4 HOU 4th & 6 at the 56 late-game
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 42%

    (1:27) 11-C.Johnston punts 44 yards to IND 12, Center-46-J.Weeks. 21-N.Hines to IND 12 for no gain (1-T.Smith). FUMBLES (1-T.Smith), recovered by IND-34-I.Rodgers at IND 12. 34-I.Rodgers to IND 9 for -3 yards (43-N.Hewitt).

  • Q4 IND 4th & 1 at the 56 late-game
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 71%

    (:19) 6-M.Haack punts 37 yards to HOU 19, Center-46-L.Rhodes, out of bounds.