4th & Data
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Detroit Lions

HC Dan Campbell
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PIT Home

Pittsburgh Steelers

HC Mike Tomlin
Sunday 2021-11-14 · 13:00 Heinz Field, Pittsburgh US 🌧 Rain Spread 9.0 O/U 43.0

Prediction unavailable for this game — it isn't in the current feature set yet. Try rerunning build_pregame_features.py.

Predicted Final Score

Not available for this game yet. Run python src/models/train_score.py to train the score model, then python src/features/build_pregame_features.py if this game was added after that.

Injury Report — Week 10

DET

Austin Seibert K Out right Hip
Jamaal Williams RB Out Thigh
Taylor Decker T Questionable Finger
Austin Bryant LB Questionable Shoulder

PIT

Chase Claypool WR Out Toe

Pulled fresh for 2021 week 10 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

DET 16
–
PIT 16

Scoring Summary

  • Q1 09:45 TD PIT (9:45) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short right to 13-J.Washington for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DET 0 – PIT 6
  • Q2 12:51 TD DET (12:51) 28-J.Jefferson left guard for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DET 6 – PIT 7
  • Q2 04:25 FG PIT (4:25) 9-C.Boswell 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin. DET 7 – PIT 10
  • Q2 00:02 FG DET (:02) 5-R.Santoso 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox. DET 10 – PIT 10
  • Q3 12:19 TD DET (12:19) 35-G.Igwebuike right tackle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DET 16 – PIT 10
  • Q3 08:29 FG PIT (8:29) 9-C.Boswell 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin. DET 16 – PIT 13
  • Q4 11:36 FG PIT (11:36) 9-C.Boswell 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin. DET 16 – PIT 16

Fourth-Down Decisions

  • Q1 DET 4th & 5 at the 79
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 48%

    (8:11) 3-J.Fox punts 52 yards to PIT 27, Center-47-S.Daly. 14-R.McCloud to PIT 40 for 13 yards (38-C.Moore).

  • Q1 PIT 4th & 4 at the 54
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 48%

    (6:42) 6-P.Harvin punts 39 yards to DET 15, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 11-K.Raymond.

  • Q1 DET 4th & 1 at the 76
    Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.16 EP
    p(convert) 73%

    (4:38) 3-J.Fox punts 61 yards to PIT 15, Center-47-S.Daly. 14-R.McCloud to PIT 28 for 13 yards (44-J.Reeves-Maybin, 38-C.Moore).

  • Q1 DET 4th & 10 at the 52
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 33% p(FG) 20%

    (:27) 3-J.Fox punts 52 yards to end zone, Center-47-S.Daly, Touchback.

  • Q2 PIT 4th & 4 at the 74
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 51%

    (14:27) 6-P.Harvin punts 61 yards to DET 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 11-K.Raymond to PIT 39 for 48 yards (6-P.Harvin).

  • Q2 PIT 4th & 2 at the 2
    Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +1.43 EP
    p(convert) 53% p(FG) 98%

    (4:25) 9-C.Boswell 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.

  • Q2 DET 4th & 1 at the 45
    Chose GO ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 69% p(FG) 36%

    (2:03) 67-M.Nelson reported in as eligible. 32-D.Swift left tackle to PIT 35 for 10 yards (42-J.Pierre).

  • Q2 DET 4th & 2 at the 2
    Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.78 EP
    p(convert) 53% p(FG) 98%

    (:02) 5-R.Santoso 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

  • Q3 PIT 4th & 5 at the 5
    Chose KICK Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EP
    p(convert) 38% p(FG) 98%

    (8:29) 9-C.Boswell 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.

  • Q3 DET 4th & 5 at the 39
    Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.67 EP
    p(convert) 42% p(FG) 52%

    (4:38) 3-J.Fox punts 39 yards to end zone, Center-47-S.Daly, Touchback.

  • Q3 PIT 4th & 4 at the 59
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 49%

    (1:59) 6-P.Harvin punts 46 yards to DET 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 11-K.Raymond pushed ob at DET 18 for 5 yards (31-J.Layne).

  • Q4 DET 4th & 15 at the 87
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 31%

    (15:00) 3-J.Fox punts 42 yards to PIT 45, Center-47-S.Daly. 14-R.McCloud to 50 for 5 yards (51-J.Woods).

  • Q4 PIT 4th & 5 at the 33
    Chose KICK ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 42% p(FG) 68%

    (11:36) 9-C.Boswell 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-6-P.Harvin.

  • Q4 DET 4th & 1 at the 66
    Chose GO ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 72%

    (9:56) 45-J.Cabinda up the middle to DET 36 for 2 yards (98-T.Charlton; 96-I.Buggs).

  • Q4 DET 4th & 11 at the 65
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 33%

    (7:20) 3-J.Fox punts 49 yards to PIT 16, Center-47-S.Daly. 14-R.McCloud to PIT 29 for 13 yards (42-J.Elliott).

  • Q4 PIT 4th & 3 at the 52 late-game
    Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.52 EP
    p(convert) 53% p(FG) 20%

    (4:34) 6-P.Harvin punts 39 yards to DET 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 11-K.Raymond.

  • Q4 PIT 4th & 7 at the 45 late-game
    Chose PUNT Model wanted GO instead — cost +0.41 EP
    p(convert) 38% p(FG) 36%

    (2:30) 6-P.Harvin punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Touchback.

  • Q4 DET 4th & 10 at the 55 late-game
    Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model
    p(convert) 33%

    (:31) 3-J.Fox punts 43 yards to PIT 12, Center-47-S.Daly. 14-R.McCloud pushed ob at PIT 22 for 10 yards (38-C.Moore).