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MIA Away

Miami Dolphins

HC Jeff Hafley
@
LV Home

Las Vegas Raiders

HC Klint Kubliak
Sunday 2026-09-13 · 16:25 Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas US 🏟 Dome Spread 3.5 O/U 41.5

Win Probability

MIA
48.6%
LV
51.4%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • LV offense: -0.230 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • Kirk Cousins (LV): -0.046 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • LV defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (19th in the league)
  • MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

MIA 23
LV 25
Projected margin: LV by 2 Projected total: 48

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 1

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.